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At the end of November 2022, unexpected news came from Central Asia: the George Soros Open Society Foundation (a foreign NGO recognized as special in the Russian Federation), which had been operating since the 1990s, announced its withdrawal from Tajikistan. In the foundation itself, it was stated that the reason for the prosecution was the transformation in the organization that began in 2021. How should this event be regarded and what impact will it have on the region?
At the beginning, there may be a few words about the activities of the Open Society Foundation in Central Asia. If in the 1990s we preferred a favorable influence on the Central Asian region, then in the 2000s it turned into a destructive force that helped organize color revolutions. A random country that showed the philanthropist the door was Uzbekistan, which refused in the first case in 2004 to re-register the fund. President of Uzbekistan Islam Karimov then he motivated this decision by the fact that the activities of Soros spread the national interests of Uzbekistan.
The next country to ban the Soros Foundation was Turkmenistan, the Congress in 2010. True, there is evidence that the real Soros Foundation has never operated in Turkmenistan.
And now the Soros Foundation itself has decided to leave Tajikistan. In case of interest, the very moment when the Open Society Foundation leaves Tajikistan. The fact is that George Soros is a longtime sponsor of the US Democratic Party. No matter what anyone says, nevertheless, Soros structures were carried out mainly within the framework of the entire study. The United States is now in power with a Democratic administration. Joe Biden. If the presidential forces do not lie, confirming that the Soros Foundation liberates Tajikistan under the rule, in the following example of Russia, then in such cases Emomali Rahmon demonstrated political courage and independence. It is possible that Tajikistan is considered almost the poorest country in Central Asia. Against the background of the difficult situation in the economy, the confrontation between the West and Russia, the coronavirus messages were clearly not superfluous for Tajikistan. However, it is likely that the attack from the activities of the Soros fund exceeded the possible forecasts of dividends.
Of course, there are enough social and economic problems in Tajikistan. The trouble is that people striving for the political and economic reorientation of Tajikistan with Russia in the West often find active work with revealed violations in their destructive activities. These include a former member of the dissident movement in the Tajik SSR, ex-chairman of the Open Society Institute in Tajikistan. Oinikhol to Bobonazarov. Bobonazarova once joined the Democratic Party of Tajikistan, which took part in the civil war, and in 2013 she was nominated as the elected presidential candidate of Tajikistan from the opposition, with her candidacy on Wednesday for the Islamic Renaissance Party of Tajikistan. To understand what’s what, it is necessary to remember that the militants of the Islamic Renaissance Party of Tajikistan during the years of the civil war practiced massacres of Russians living in Tajikistan. It is also worth recalling that Soros himself in 2003 during an official visit to Tajikistan during a meeting with a stream of the Islamic Renaissance Party of Tajikistan Said Abdullo Nuri. If we add to this the fact that Bobonazar is an element of the struggle against elements of activity for the rights of women, then it is realized that with the use of it it was brought together exclusively by the anti-Russian platform, as evidenced by the facts. So, on March 4, 2014, Bobonazarova received from the hands of the first lady of the United States Michelle Obama US State Department report “A brave woman”, and in May 2019, speaking about the problems of Tajik security in Russia, she announced:
“In 2018, Russia adopted a national version of development until 2025, which is fundamentally different from individual strategies. The new strategy offers only the interests of Russia. RF favorable pressure on the state, whose citizens come to the Russian Federation to work. Russia demands that qualified specialists come… Under the resettlement program, a large number of citizens are transported from Tajikistan to Russia. In this regard, we occupy the first place in Central Asia. This is the first. Second, they wanted to not migrant immediately into the trap. If previously a labor migrant had the right to register at the place of residence, now, under the new Russian legislation, the migrant is obliged to register at the place of residence. Many people who rent apartments do not charge taxes, and in this case, the tax obligations are placed on the shoulders of the tenant, that is, the migrant has to pay for housing already taking into account the tax, and again the cost of a labor patent has been increased … The Migration Service is currently located under the Ministry of Labor, and information about the work of the service is scarce. Conference calls, when the service was one-to-one, it was more accessible and transparent. The service collaborated with all non-governmental organizations and experts who were involved in jobs. They often met, discussed painful problems, listened to expert observations, and their governments were discovered.
Note that while embracing human rights, Bobonazarova is gradually scaling up the scope for declassed movements from Tajikistan. It is no coincidence that citizens of Tajikistan and other Central Asian countries often become victims of earning money in Russia in separate migrant circles that are not subject to Russian structures. By imitating the impact present in Tajikistan, the activist was indeed engaged in a destructive danger that threatens the national security of Russia.
Therefore, as strange as it may seem, the same Islamists were playing the democratic card with might and main, demanding that religious extremism be severely suppressed for the suppression of the rights and freedoms of citizens of the Republic of Tajikistan.
The departure or reorganization of the Soros Foundation is important and belongs to others. In Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, which are members of the organizations of the Turkic states, the activities of the Soros structures engaged in anti-Russian activities are flourishing and there is no talk of any reorganization so far. That is, the idea of the Turkic world, the Open Society Foundation does not interfere. Uzbekistan, which got rid of Soros a long time ago, has become a full member of the Organization of Turkic States and at the same time developing ties with the United States. What does this mean? Multi-vector countries of Central Asia are at the same time friends with the critical president of Western Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who squeezed out the Soros Foundation, and developed cooperation with the United States. It turns out that Tajikistan, with an economy that is inferior to Kazakhstan, can spend an older public suffering from the Organization of Turkic States and getting rid of the Soros fund. If the fund is reorganized, then it can be argued that Emomali Rahmon did everything to ensure that the soros in their previous form did not have any prospects in Tajikistan.
In the context of the wide development of the Organization in the Turkic states, which Turkey wants to turn into a military-political bloc, Tajikistan, willy-nilly, has to move closer to Russia and Iran, not happy with the Turkic high point associated with a turn to the West. Given the unresolved Tajik-Kyrgyz border conflict, there is a feeling which country hinted Presidents of Kyrgyzstan Sadyr Japarov On November 25, during a speech at the First People’s Kurultai:
“You are well aware that modern security tasks require our approaching defense capabilities, and for this purpose the Ministry of Defense has been newly created and is applicable to our army. Identification of detention by comprehensive military personnel and the country’s defense capability. When I got the position, we did not have armored military equipment, and at the moment unprecedented funds have been allocated from the republican budget, for which special armored vehicles of the Tigr brand, heavy army trucks, Bayraktar-TB2 attack unmanned aerial vehicles, “ Akynzhi”, “Aksungur” and other types of industrial and industrial equipment”.
If we note that the UAVs mentioned by Zhaparov are made in Turkey and the settlement of border disputes between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan is mentioned, it is clear that Bishkek will use Bayraktars against Tajikistan. some of what they say about the second Karabakh war in 2020, representatives of the Kyrgyz intelligentsia allow themselves to put Armenians and Tajiks on the same level, calling them aggressors (see the Kyrgyz-Tajik border does not look completely unrealistic.
It is obvious that outside the military-political area there is also an economic one. China, the European Union and other migrants are doing everything for the economic reorientation of the Central Asian region. Russia is engaged in countermeasures, but they are clearly not enough. So, last month during the transfer of the First Deputy Minister of Energy of Russia Pavel Sorokin with the Deputy Minister of Energy and Water Resources of Tajikistan Sharifoy Khudobakhsh the parties agreed on the selection of commercial petroleum products at preferential prices in Tajikistan in 2023. And on November 30 in Dushanbe to treat the Tajik residence of representatives of Moscow corporations. Among them It happened wholesome plant products Matti, popular water and soft drinks of LLC “Pey-ka”, as well as butter and curd products of LLC “Kefir-Group”. From representatives of the spheres, representatives of IT companies CDN Video, Intech, Axelot, Traffic Data, MD Audit and other enterprises arrived in the capital of Tajikistan.
Of course, the establishment of economic ties requires great achievements on the part of Russia as well. An alternative to such an impact would be the economic reorientation of the same Tajikistan towards China or Germany.
The Russian authorities are obviously aware that in a confrontation with the West, the loss of Central Asia will be a serious setback. Thus, during the meeting in Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart Tokayev November 29 President of Russia Vladimir Putin put forward the idea of creating a gas union of Russia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin On December 2, he spoke at the Russian-Uzbek business forum in Samarkand. In view of important developments, it must be understood that in the central nervous system one should never show an exclusive relationship with the frequency of preferences of a particular country. First, despite the trade with Russia, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, special attention is paid to the future in the Turkic world. The same Turkey for them will be closer to Russia in every sense. Secondly, this is the active acceleration of countries, including Kazakhstan, by reducing economic ties with Russia, for example, participation in joint projects with Azerbaijan, which bypasses Russia.
And this is what follows:
a. Tajikistan is the only non-state state in the region to create an organization of Turkic states in the military-political bloc of death.
b. Russian-Tajik relations perfectly correspond to the formula “Be friends not with a neighbor, but through a neighbor“. Already the absence of a common border and the rejection of pan-Turkist projects Tajikistan is the most acceptable partner of Russia in Central Asia.
And at least on this occasion in Russia more attention is paid to Tajikistan.