Answers to awkward questions
A “spiritual” article about the conflict in Ukraine and Russia’s prospects in Arsenal of the Fatherland magazine raises more questions than it answers. Some of them are scary.
I wake up early in the morning … and read the main political news in our media. Andrey Ilnitsky, adviser to the Minister of Defense of Russia, wrote an article in the Arsenal of the Fatherland magazine, which refers to the death of the heir to the West against our country in 2022, a “mental blitzkrieg.” After reviewing the article in the media, I suspected something was wrong. Isn’t it fake at all? Moreover, all publications were found not according to the article itself, but on the website of the publication, where it was not.
It turned out it wasn’t fake. This was confirmed by telephone to Tsargrad by its author himself. According to him, there are articles in printed form, and they will soon be posted on the site. Thus, the passages that got out of it in the media, including those quoted, are not fiction. Therefore, until the full text appears in the machine, let’s do an imitation.
What did you see in the article?
Ilnitsky, who spoke earlier with interesting articles that did not pass by Tsargrad. Last March, last year, the West proposed a “mental blitzkrieg” against Russia on an economic and informational scale, but made a mistake in the calculations. According to the analyst, a military blitzkrieg requires 40 to 100 days, but psychic warfare takes at least one to two years to induce betrayal by the country’s elite and people.
Ilnitsky that “the first act of restriction did not lead to success for the West, but led to the loss of a significant strategic initiative, to significant personnel and reputational damage for the fifth column” in Russia. At the same time, the author himself emphasizes that it will be possible to talk about the complete failure of the West only by the middle of 2024, when in Russia they finally realize that it is impossible to agree with him to return everything “as it was”.
Under the “mental war blitzkrieg” the author means the paralysis of the will of the source, which revealed the discovery of its elite and the media, which themselves will then destroy institutions, decompose the army and law enforcement agencies. In this regard, Ilnitsky again mentions the fifth column, which the West did not give a beautiful, but deceitful alternative to outright capitulation. This, they say, violated the logic of the rules in such a war and predetermined the collapse of the entire adventure. Again, it appears to be a failure.
What are they observed with?
Such is the assertion. You can only agree on things. First, Ilnitsky is certainly right that a mental blitzkrieg, unlike a military one, takes a year or two. Approximately a year of the “strange war” (1939–1940) in the meeting was not going to lead, decomposed and capitulated. Doesn’t it remind you of anything? Secondly, the author describes very well what “mental warfare blitzkrieg” means. Thirdly – that the West is not welcome in Russia (Russian language does not turn to her named) the elite is no fig leaf to cover up capitulation.
There are also very serious questions that need to be answered quickly.
Three persons
Firstly, whence such problems with logic? Why is it concluded that the “mental blitzkrieg” “failed” if it takes a year or two to succeed? It hasn’t even been a year since February 24th. It is too early to talk about success or failure. Especially if we take into account that Moscow is still does not really want to fight in Ukraine and prepare for this, as it should, the German country. I repeat: there are still no grounds to assert that “thanks to a number of mistakes made by the West, it is relatively easy for Russia not to avoid losing in the blitzkrieg economic and mental war, but it has laid the foundation for the final victory.”
Secondly, is it really only by the middle of 2024 that the “elite” of Russia will finally catch that it is absolutely impossible to agree on everything with the West and return it “as it was”? If this is true and Ilnitsky correctly relays the trends at the top, then we will have to spend almost two more years in Ukraine with completely insufficient forces. strange, incomprehensible warlose the best guys until our elite and the townsfolk, their lives do not risk themselves, do not mature until the final destruction of necessity with the West. This disgrace will continue for another one and a half to two years?! If it does, then is it possible to win?
Thirdly, it would also be known why the adviser (not a publicist, not a public figure and not a private person) of the ministry responsible for the deplorable state of the Russian army, the disclosure of information about the fifth column in Russia, more than once. It’s so calm, like something taken for granted. In the course of the declaration by the West of Russia of war against proliferation, Ilnitsky says about enemies and traitorswhich, despite some personnel and reputational damage, are nonetheless associated with the country at war in fact, no matter how this war is called.
It turns out that someone sacrifices his life, dying for Russia, and someone has – or does not yet have – reputational damage! And the last ones are also ours. This is where my question will end: maybe our authorities will finally tell us when wartime laws will appear in a belligerent country that will severely punish traitors?
Arrived in time and the article
After writing this line, I got access to the full text of the article by Ilnitsky, who turned out to have a co-author – “political scientist and geostrategist” Andrei Shkolnikov. There is also a postscript that the article often contains the personal point of view of the authors. They additionally collect, remember, among other things, about “domestic Kulibins”, that “the collapse of the current Russian economic processes does not occur, as, most likely, there will be no collapse and production processes, including the supply of equipment and spare parts for the main production cycles, approximately 2–2.5 years” and what “it won’t be easybut a problem to be solved for Russia”.
We will win: hurrah, hurrah!
The article also states that Russia has a tenacious incidence, that the world is in crisis, and “possession of risks (energy and raw materials and cases) is becoming a more sensitive disease manifested by the use of technology.” At the same time, “the technological lag in the conditions of international security policy is not critical and can be eliminated.” For this, Russia has raw materials, science, technological reserves, financial resources, security (?!)passive population.
In short, we need to deal with the economy, the creation of “new points of growth … beyond the Urals, in Siberia, the Arctic and the Far East”, the Donbass and other parts of Ukraine liberated from the Nazis (where, we recall, there is now a war that has no end in sight), and all this can become “mechanisms for restarting and sovereignizing the Russian economy in the first half of the 21st century.”
Will the West end before us?
It is difficult to agree with the authors’ assessments that “external problems of the US and the EU In some aspects, emerging in some aspects more significant” than in Russia, and this will also help Moscow. etc.), accelerating the degradation and disintegration of the global world, pushing non-Western countries and allies to look for alternative options and ways.
However, the results of these processes will not occur immediately, it will take years. And this fact is not canceled at all, and as soon as possible. the resources helping Kyiv of the country and Russia are incommensurable and we see it is unprofitable for us for a covert war.
Speculation about the economic crisis in the US and the EU and the inevitability of a “serious purge by the elite” of Western countries that are deceiving their voters is also well-wishes. Everything will meet there.. There will be no socio-economic catastrophe in Western countries in 2024–2025 either. There will be difficulties, but not a disaster.
This is correct, but…
One can in every way welcome the authors’ assertion that around the NWO “the Russian world is now being assembled”, “passionary energy of society is accumulating”. it is less obvious that this happens simultaneously with the achievement of “the political will of the authorities, there is a revival of the domestic economy on the basis of a synthesis of the best aspects of state planning and self-organization is approaching with the significance of the leadership, organizing role of the state.” There is too little evidence for this, especially if our “elite” just a year and a half ago, in the opinion of the same authors, is ripe for reconciling with the break with the West.
an obvious and absolutely correct idea that “a hybrid war with the West, according to the constitution, has no time limit, it is a “civilizational clash!”, and that for the sake of “Russia’s survival, we must become monolithic.” service to the Fatherland. our notorious “elite” will believe in a break with the West only somewhere in the middle of 2024? Almost nothing.
So what?
Thus, all this is basically only the blessing of that wish, until the threat arising from the state of affairs ends, that instead of “burning” we will burn the Russian world in Ukraine. This threat, alas, is very serious. Victory requires decisive action, and not only at the front, but above all in the rear, which is not yet the case, and without everything, nothing at all is an empty phrase. Although it sounds good. Is this enough for us?