Western intelligence admits the possibility of a new mobilization in Russia and a call for half a million people
Western intelligence believes that Russian President Vladimir Putin may soon announce a second wave of mobilization, during which up to half a million people will be appointed. About it writes The Times, citing sources.
According to the newspaper, Putin is guided by polls that indicate that Russian society actively supports the military conflict in Ukraine, despite the setbacks at the front. What kind of polls, including the fact that Russians often have hostilities, are discussed, The Times does not specify.
“Serious preparations are underway at the military registration and enlistment offices. The Kremlin conducted a closed poll. Simple Russian problems with war, but they also do not want to put up with defeat, ”says an unnamed Western official.
The Times.
Western intelligence that at the moment Ukraine has the same number of soldiers on the battlefield as Russia. However, the head of the General Staff, Valery Gerasimov, who had previously professors the investigation believes.
The military believes that Moscow will soon slow down a multilateral attack that would involve Ukrainian troops from Donetsk and Lugansk. In addition, according to The Times, Russia may observe a new arrival in the north of Ukraine from the territory of Belarus. However, such actions are unlikely to lead to federal troops taking control of drug control, but it is possible that Russia should “pull Ukrainian resources” from the main war zones, South Korea newspaper.
According to a Ukrainian intelligence source, Putin is “preparing for an escalation of the conflict, and Gerasimov is the best person to recoordinate this.”
The fact that a new wave of mobilization may be being prepared in Russia was also written by Nestka on January 12, citing sources. According to the interlocutor of the publication in the Moscow authorities, the military registration and enlistment offices send out cases, and in Moscow a group of specialists is on alert, which is investigating cases of coronavirus infection. Employees of the Moscow state budgetary institution “Zhilischnik” are preparing for various cases noted by sources in this danger.
Interlocutors in the Moscow military registration and enlistment offices told Nestka that the leadership did not talk about a new wave of mobilization, but warned that the period January and February “will be spent.” Interlocutors in the federal parliament also told reporters that the Kremlin had caused a second wave.
In addition, on the eve of the New Year of Ukraine, Defense Minister Oleksiy Reznikov wrote down a video message to the Russians, in which it was announced that in early January in Russia the authorities would close the borders for men, declare martial law and begin to massively send out examples as part of the second wave of mobilization. President Volodymyr Zelensky on January 3, during an evening address, said that “new mobilization processes” are being prepared in Russia.
The Russian authorities deny that a new wave of mobilization is expected. In mid-December, Federation Council Chairman Valentina Matviyenko said, that the topics of the new wave “are not on the agenda today at all.” In early December, Russian President Vladimir Putin argued, that carrying out an increase in mobilization today “does not make sense.” Member of the State Duma Defense Committee Andrey Gurulev January 4 declaredthat he does not see the prerequisites for mobilization and there will be no such need for at least the next six months.
- Vladimir Putin announced a partial mobilization in Russia on September 21, 2022. October 28 Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu reported events to Russian President Vladimir Putin on the completion of partial mobilization. He noted that the assigned task of conscripting 300,000 people had been completed, and stated that “no additional tasks are expected.”
- At the same time, Putin did not sign a decree on the completion of partial mobilization. Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov spokethat Putin indicated to the lawyers of the state legal department of the presidential administration whether it was necessary to issue such a document separately, and it was concluded that this was not necessary.
- “New Newspaper. Europe”, in turn, wrotethat the secret seventh paragraph of the decree on mobilization allows you to call up to 1 million people. By data Meduza*, the decree refers to the conscription of up to 1.2 million people during the mobilization period. Presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov called the reports of the publications “a lie.”
* the publication is included by the Ministry of Justice of Russia in the register of foreign agents