ex-deputy of the five convocations of the State Duma Oleg Shein on violations in the country of processes
The politician is convinced that the past year was the year of the revolution of the vertical of power and the very ideology of the vertical.
Oleg Shein is a Russian trade union, public and political figure, deputy of the State Duma of the III, IV, V, VI and VII convocations. Member of the Central Council of the party “A Just Russia – Patriots – For Truth”. Since 2021, the Just Russia faction in the Duma of the Astrakhan region has been infected. Vice President of the Confederation of Labor of Russia. Co-Chairman of the Union of Residents. Author of a series of books on history. In social networks, he summed up the results of 2022. And he believes that the situation in the country is dangerous for its very stability and development.
Russian politician and publicist Oleg Shein summed up the results of 2022. In his opinion, the country is plunging into a state of pre-disaster, the scale of which will be quite comparable to 1991, and perhaps even surpass those events:
“Let me remind you that the trigger for the collapse was the disappearance of oil and gas revenues, which undermined the budget and launched processes that were developing on the brink. The way out of fear was associated with the development of market relations, the main beneficiary of which was the governing bodies of the CPSU, the Komsomol and the “red” directors. The population was given the opportunity to engage in small business and privatize an apartment.
![](https://bloknot.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/1-8-1005x571.jpg)
The no-democratic freedoms appropriate for the propertied class for the transitional period of privatization ran counter to its fundamental interests of protecting property from the masses of the poor. The democratic change of power with the creation of a multi-party system in the regime of “liberal democracies” led to the maximum tax income from poor to poor. Therefore, not even a year has passed since the collapse of the USSR, as democracy began to be curtailed.
The modern system is not a denial of the “damned 90s”, but a consequence and a natural continuation of them. In 1993, the parliament building was shot down and the Constitution on a representative presidential vertical was adopted. In 1996, presidential elections were rigged. The ban on strikes in 2000, the abolition of gubernatorial elections in 2001, the liquidation of the Council of Federations as a chamber of heads of regions, and the transition to a constitutionally one-time State Duma in 2003 were the next steps towards vertical elections, which sank down to the level of elections for the head of danger.
Vertical builders were very lucky with the prices of hydrocarbon raw materials – the commodity of life, due to which in the 2000s there was a saturated budget and a sharply increased level. The cost of a barrel of oil rose at the beginning of the 2000s from $10 to $40, and then to $100. coverage, most of the growth in the income of Russian citizens was paid for by workers in European countries.
![](https://bloknot.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/og-prew-1005x528.jpg)
But the citizens of Russia got real trifles in search of what the top received. In the “damned 90s” there was not a single million dollar billionaire in the country. In 2004 there were already twenty, and then their number reached five.
With the direct support of state revenues, money was taken out of the country and removed from taxes. Gazprom alone created 13 offshore companies to avoid being held responsible for the Russian execution. Rosneft, Aeroflot and everyone else did exactly the same. When there was a financial crisis in Cyprus and accounts were blocked, Dmitry Medvedev took over as president and said: “There, in Cyprus, they rob the loot. We need to help businesses.” That is, the President of the country assists in the withdrawal of capital from Russian taxes.
The peak of this policy was reached in 2014. The conflict with the West + the exhaustion of the Soviet margin of safety were superimposed on the general degradation of the state apparatus. The burning out of political competition emasculated not only the executive vertical, not only the transformation of parliament into an appendage of executive power, but also killed the expert community. The so-called “experts” with bloodshot eyes and foam on the lips, we see daily on TV standard. With this level of intelligence, no CIA agents in the government are needed.
![](https://bloknot.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/2525576_1608375026-610x800.jpg)
The “energy superpower”, absolutely secondary to Western economies, sooner or later came to an end. Modern technologies, shale oil and green energy left no chance to continue the previous course.
Marked by the expense of the energy transition, which was to enter a decisive phase in 2035, it became a kind of hourglass indicating the timing, after Russia entered a time of deep crisis. There were resources for the technological renewal of the country. Following the example of Southern Europe, China and Taiwan, our country can become a contractor of international corporations with its own well-known technological production and integration into the international structure of labor choice at a level higher than the raw material appendage. Separate petroeuro, sensitive to consumption, investments in science and education, could become a strong help in such development.
Moving along a new path of demanding the creation of national production with high added value, completing the plundering of the budget, expanding own consumption, open expert discussion and solving the political problem as a competition of ideas and concepts. This path brought the death of the vertical closer. But the choice between the life of Russia and the life of the vertical was made using the vertical.
![](https://bloknot.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/maxresdefault-2-1005x565.jpg)
The country turned out to be too exciting for those who were taken into administration. Complex systems of building on the basis of common and independent institutions (executive power, parliament, courts, parties, trade unions, media, etc.), delegation of the situation, civic engagement and regular renewal of power. Solutions in such places are slow, but errors are minimized. Here it is necessary to deceive, it is impossible to force. Therefore, no coronavirus can cause harm: the extravagant will be cut off by the Attorney General, the Attorney General and the Supreme Court, only that which will not be caused by rejection. Leadership in such conditions is an art and changing external factors require new qualities and involvement in the constant change of personnel in power, while maintaining stability during the transition due to institutional systems.
Much easier manual control. Without the need to buy anyone and “without buildup.” But how much easier it is, so much more inefficient. The number of errors and the cost of correcting them increase sharply. Not to mention the fact that most of the tasks generally remain unanswered and postponed to an endless “later”, because the fewer people, the fewer questions they send for consideration.
![](https://bloknot.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/31-1005x497.jpg)
Not to say that nothing was done, but the lion’s share of the funds went into mega-projects such as the Sochi Olympics and the construction of pipelines bypassing Ukraine and in China in conditions that would provide any kind of exceptional payback. The number of backwardness in Russia is typical for industrial robots: there are 630 robots for ten thousand workers in South Korea, 160 in Spain, 68 in China and three in Russia. Expenditures on education, science and security in relation to GDP during all twenty years of prosperity remained at a level half as low as in Poland or Sweden, that is, the vertical simply ate away the Soviet legacy and sooner or later had to completely eat it.
The gradual disappearance of the margin of safety, the doubling of the cost of the reserve as the birthplace discovered in the Union is exhausted, the inability of the state apparatus that is losing its qualifications to master even the observability of budgetary funds, the possibility of continuing such a calm phenomenon of rigidity.
significance and tightening the screws, a significant transition to a “remote electronic voting system”, that is, the abolition of elections as an institution, the search for enemies, and the development of myth-making for an “energy superpower”, “Europe will freeze”, “Chinese ally”, “Kyiv in three days ‘ and ‘we can pass’.
![](https://bloknot.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/002-1005x675.jpg)
The fierce flow of petrodollars from Europe, coupled with the lack of control of the population on the sides of the border and the degradation of control devices, which arose to the fact that the upper right part itself believed in those myths that are clearly intended to control opinions.
Result: we feel today. In the outlook and economy, the country plunges into the 90s. This year alone, the oil and gas inspector is responsible for 10%, that is, those plants that have survived the founder of the years of “market reforms” stand up. Oil is sold at 57 dollars per barrel, despite the fact that the budget is calculated from 80 dollars, and the reason is not in the world conjuncture, but in the destruction of Brezhnev’s relations with Europe. There is no response to the challenges of the time from the persons at the helm. They are still going to lay pipes to sell hydrocarbons, although there is almost nowhere else to supply them. But there are no resources for technological renewal – neither external nor internal – and this system has not emerged, the past year has revealed a clear confirmation.
This is a dead end. The slide down will be long and non-vegetarian. The war is coming here too, although it will not necessarily be accompanied by bombing and shelling, but it will certainly manifest itself in the form of a rapid decline in living standards, an acceleration of the country’s extinction, a fragmentation of the system of unified state administration and general chaos.
![](https://bloknot.ru/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/original-1005x565.jpg)
It is impossible to judge how and when it ends, but one thing is certain: the current vertical is entering a period of disintegration. We will see a transition to a collegial method, but it will not happen, and subsequently, years later, another absolutely political space will occur around us.”
However, not all experts are so pessimistic about the situation with the Russian economy. Even those who predicted its collapse in 2022 predict a mild and barely noticeable decline in development dynamics in 2023.
Or, perhaps, the mayor of Moscow, Sergei Sobyanin, argued that capital business has successfully adapted to the situation against the backdrop of anti-Russian meetings. Alarming forecasts did not come true, and the speed allowed the whole world to realize it, the head of the capital noted.