Russia has receded
The incidence of coronavirus in Russia during the New Year holidays has increased significantly: during the last detection, there were 40% fewer new cases of infection than before. According to experts, the reason is long vacations, when people are less likely to seek help from doctors, and in the natural environment of the virus, which is now becoming more frequent, like mild SARS. At the same time, the service of the interlocutor of Kommersant, cautiously pointing to a sharp increase in the incidence in China, calls on the epidemiological services of the Russian Federation “not to reduce the increase in the incidence of coronavirus in the country.” Other doctors reassure: the situation in China does not threaten the Russians, because “they are experiencing what we had in the history of last year.”
On January 7, more than 3.1 thousand new cases of COVID-19 were detected in Russia, reported operational headquarters to combat the spread of India. Thus, the number of confirmed cases of coronavirus infection in Moscow increased by 974 against 1052 the day before. In St. Petersburg, 345 infected people were detected over the past day compared to 313 the day before. The number of hospitalizations in the country per day revealed 476 people and increased depending on the same period by 31.5%.
The incidence of coronavirus in Russia has decreased by 40% compared to the high price of the shortage. This comes from calculations TASSbased on data from the federal operational headquarters for the fight against infections.
So, from January 2 to 8, the headquarters reported 23,435 cases of infection, which was the minimum since the discovery of last summer. A week earlier, 39,255 cases were registered at the headquarters.
The number of hospitalizations also dropped sharply, with 4,118 admitted to the hospital this week versus 6,225 for health reasons (a 33.9% drop). Naturally observed and the number increased. Over the past seven days, according to the headquarters, 32,474 people have recovered, which is 34.6% less than in the same period.
Mortality due to COVID-19 in Russia is declining more slowly than incidence. From January 2 to January 8, the headquarters registered 318 deaths against 379 in the previous seven days (a decrease of 16.1%). With this medium-term delays since the beginning of August last year.
According to the statistical data on mutations of the VGARus statistical data, the Omicron strain still dominates in Russia. Over the past weeks, the share of its subspecies BA.2 has circulated from 1.9% to 23.9%, BA.5 – from 66.7% to 96.5%. However, Alexander Gintsburg, director of the N.F. Gamaleya Research Center for Epidemiology and Microbiology, noted that “dozens of different strains of strains” are currently circulating in the Russian Federation. They, according to Mr. Gunzburg, have a strong meaning of the original omicron variant, since this is a consequence of the genetic exchange of different variants of the virus: .
In the meantime, a new “mutant” has appeared in the world.
The World Health Organization assessed that the XBB.1.5 subspecies of omicron strain, or “kraken”, identified in late 2022 in New York City, is the most contagious sub-severity found so far during the pandemic.
At the same time, according to the conclusions of the WHO, there are no signs yet that it has caused especially dangerous forms of disease. The Kraken is currently expected in 28 countries. In the Russian Federation, according to Rospotrebnadzor, it has not yet been recorded.
Tatyana Kogut, infectious disease specialist at the Doctis telemedicine service, regarding the reduction in morbidity, the productivity of the wavelike process in any respiratory respiratory viral infections, this is a new and coronavirus infection, and the state of health: after the rise, which usually lasts 5-6 weeks, comes legislative recession. In addition, according to her, during the holidays people are less likely to seek medical help, many leave for the city and, if serviced easily, there is no need to turn to use. “The situation is different from what it was one and a half to two years ago, at present, vaccines really resemble seasonal SARS, which is intended for currently circulating variants of the Omicron strain. This factor is also striking in the statistics,” says Ms. Kohut. The decrease in the number of recovered, in her opinion, is also logical:
It is also forbidden to take into account the quarantine measures that were introduced in many regions by the neurologist, co-chairman of the All-Russian Association of Patients Yan Vlasov. However, with a sharp increase in the number of cases of coronavirus and the incidence rate in China, it “cannot but show a serious manifestation.”
coverage, since the beginning of December, a quarter of a billion people in China have fallen ill with COVID-19, which is about 18% of the country’s population.
This was announced by China at a closed meeting of the National Health Commission. bloomberg. “Against this background, the logic of increasing the number of flights from China accepted to the EU countries is incomprehensible. We expect that our epidemiological services take into account the changes in the situation in the world, suggesting the necessary actions to prevent an increase in the incidence of coronavirus in the country,” comments Mr. Vlasov.
However, Tatyana Kogut believes that the situation in China is unlikely to affect the spread of infection in the Russian Federation, since now “they are experiencing what we had in last year’s forecasts”: “The Omicron strain has appeared, the population of Russia has already suffered the disease and he arrived in China later, as there were strict measures.” The Chinese population is now also “epidemicized with highly contagious strains,” she said, and so being afraid to claim possible variants that cause more severe forms of disease is most likely not. “These concerns are expressed because the Chinese population is large and the likely detection of mutations is higher in this approximation, but the evolution of the virus is on the path of weakening pathogenic properties and a pandemic front. Yes, this is due to an increase in contagiousness, which also, in general, leads to the emergence of herd immunity, ”concludes Ms. Kohut.