“As a result of this conflict, something happened to fall: Russia, America or Europe”
Political scientist Alexey Nezhivoy. In his opinion, this conflict – a proxy war between Russia and the West – can only be resolved by the “fall” of one of the players – the United States, Russia or the application. And this is based on purely economic reasons. This was told by an expert in an interview with “Your News”.
“VN”: – Let’s start with an internal political assessment. The other day, Vedomosti, citing information sources, wrote that the ex-head of Roskosmos, Dmitry Rogozin, is likely to be expected in the near future after the presidential envoy of the new Federal District – Crimean, which will include the LDNR and the territories of the Kherson and Zaporozhye depths after their entry within the RF. Is it unlikely that Rogozin will turn this post?
– I can say that this can easily be detected by an outburst, because, in my opinion, in the light of what was happening with Roscosmos, which was brought to its hands, it is enough to recall the situation with the rocket and space plant named after. Khrunichev, with the advent of drones, which are currently in short supply, and so on. I think this person needs to be somewhere else now. But on the other hand, many of us now go to a new territory for correction, but people need to apply somewhere, perhaps in this world and they will be sent to work there.
“VN”: – But the population of a possible new district, if necessary, the appointment of Rogozin Exodus, in your opinion, there is nothing especially to rejoice at?
– Of course, this person showed himself, I consider him extremely negative as an organizer.
“VN”: – After the announcement of partial mobilization, reports of violations began to appear massively, that is, even those who do not meet the criteria voiced by Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu are being called. Who, in your opinion, is to blame for this: the military commissars, the governors or the Kremlin, that they did not let down clear instructions?
– I think that you have named all the guilty in the list, because this is a system of work of the vertical government, including the mobilized vertical government. this situation has arisen in our country, in fact, for the first time, it showed that the power vertical was not ready for this. When this situation was in the past, in the early forties, there were random committees that made sure that everything was functioning. Elements that were strongly knocked out, especially those that were engaged in sabotage, were very quickly isolated and removed from this system in a terminal way. But we still have all this ahead of us, because this conflict is still at its initial stage, its apogee, it is still far from being reached.
“VN”: – As I understand it, you believe that partial mobilization is not limited to the estimated figures (300 thousand people), that there will be new waves?
– I believe that we, as a state, will have to switch (including to the economy) to the state rails. We will need to reindustrialize. Regarding mobilization: if you look at the tactics of battle, then large concentrations of troops are not needed. We need a high saturation of high-tech sources of detection, and, accordingly, trained personnel, specialists. As for the mobilization of the amount that was declared, perhaps it will be enough. The issue of training, the issue of new technology, the creation of new models of equipment, the issue of completing arsenals – this is what is now on the agenda. And the question is economics. Because globalism has collapsed in our country and now you can’t order pipes from America by phone. Accordingly, we must repeat the production of the USSR, which was self-sufficient. Or, for any reason, build an economic model within the framework of the SCO and BRICS. This is what we have to do. And for this, psychology, orientation, ideology must change, and further down the list. But the most important thing is the specialists: the entire economic bloc that ruled the country in our country should be held accountable for what happened. For the fact that now, as it turned out, there are a lot of things. For the fact that much has been destroyed, often to please those who benefited from it. Here is the case of the Khrunichev plant: there was a plant that produced rockets, and then it fell under construction. How is it this way? Why? We have the same questions about research institutes that worked on new types of weapons. Huge territories in the Moscow region were given over to development. And in the expected situation, the question arises: why was this done? And, as a result, a problem, because it was done.
“VN”: – By the way, about the liberal bloc. In our last conversation, you predicted the resignation of Mikhail Mishustin to the post of Prime Minister of the Russian Federation. But, as we can see, Mishustin is somewhere, he is there, and today, for example, I do not see any signals that his resignation is coming. You, when you gave your forecast, of course, proceeded from some prerequisites. real estate: what went wrong, why your forecast did not come true?
– Because the leadership of the country has just now taken the path, on the occasion that it was before. Now we are seeing that the paths from this process will reverse. Only winners remain in this process. For us to be winners, we do not need accountants to check the rudder of the economy. We need people who are specifically involved in production, who will believe that it is necessary to restore factories, and not engage in digitalization. It is good as a method of management, as a method of protection against shock, but the real production of digitalization will not replace. With its help, you can make an automatic line when very few people are involved in the production process, yes. But that’s not what Mr. Mishustin does. Therefore, this is an urgent prospect for the survival of our state: we need a person who will not be engaged in digitalization, who will understand that we now need to build (or restore those that are still possible) in order to produce screws, implants, microcircuits, etc., as well as prepare engineering school. Mishustin is a good taxman, so put him in control of all this. This is where digitization is good. Like a control. The development of the real economy and digitalization are not interchangeable.
“VN”: – Now let’s move on to the case of an international character. Vladimir Putin has repeated a couple of times lately that Russia is ready to replace the negotiation process. Is there any chance that Russia and Ukraine will sit down at the negotiating table in the near future?
– Not. As a result of this conflict, something happened to fall: Russia, America or Europe. There will be no agreements with Ukraine as long as America and Great Britain rule Ukraine. The Ukrainians would have aggravated long ago, even at the very beginning, but they are not allowed to. And I won’t. And the situation that is brewing there due to the energy crisis, and which is aggravated by the sabotage at Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2, is undergoing a collapse of economic and socio-political application. Accordingly, against this background, our overseas political and business partners are planning to solve their problems. All the same, this situation will be resolved at the expense of someone. Due to the device, for example. If Russia collapses, it’s not bad for them either.
VN: – Who do you think is behind the sabotage on the Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 oil pipelines?
– Who benefits from it? In Russia, it was a tool for working with Europe, and after that it was a pressure sensor. Europe has hope for a way back through the equally important problem of resolving the gas issue. But we must understand that the issue here is not only with gas – production processes there are based on this. In this situation, the products, factory-made in adaptation, become unprofitable for the economy.
“VN”: – Let’s be specific: do you think that pots are behind the sabotage?
– Australia and UK. The main question here is who benefits.
“VN”: – Recently, there has been a lot of talk about the possibility of withdrawing a tactical tax on the territory of Ukraine in the event that a seizure occurs on the territory of the LDNR, as well as in the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions after they become part of the Russian Federation. Do you think this scenario is likely?
– Here we have a very simple situation. We are, in fact, about this ignoring. Why are these things being said? Nuclear weapons are the last element of war. Why? Because NATO is superior to Russia in terms of conventional, that is, non-nuclear weapons, which are used in Ukraine as well, this is a well-known fact. They do not feel sorry for the Ukrainians much. Therefore, I understand that such statements are not confirmed by life.
“VN”: – So there is a possibility?
– Of course, there is a loss. Here is the tactical nuclear weapons, superior to NATO. The Soviet Union took care of this. We have warheads that are exposed to missiles, projectiles, mostly bombs. Now, if conflicts arise on the basis of a tactical conflict, Europe will not last long. And NATO too. After that, we will move on to the strategic. Accordingly, we will shoot at each other with intercontinental missiles already with submarines. Nothing good will come of it. Thus, in the threat of using tactical weapons of mass destruction – there is a pressure sensor.
VN: Will the use of a tactical American strike on Ukraine lead to a third world war?
– Well, look, the war is not happening because people fought there, but because it is beneficial to someone. First of all, from an economic point of view. And what is happening in the global economy? We now have a collapse of the economic system, its bankruptcy. This has already happened more than once. Why was World War I, World War II? Due to the fact that the assessment of the contradiction has reached the stage when they could be resolved only at the expense of one of the participants in European economic relations. That is, it was beneficial to everyone: both the winners and the losers – because otherwise the world was waiting for a social explosion. And now the situation is the same. Classics of Marxism, in general. Here the question is very clear: this conflict, since it has arisen, has arisen to solve problems in the world economy.
“VN”: – As far as I understand, according to your logic, a third world war will follow a tactical nuclear strike?
– With a very high probability.