Dying Russia – Blog Review – Finversia
The problem with demographics in the country is becoming more acute.
First, this exorbitant proportion of population declinewhich is 384 thousand people for the first 6 months of 2022 compared to a decrease of 422 thousand for the first half of 2021, but naturally the decrease in 2021 was the smallest in the modern history of Russia and the least since the Second World War!
In 2021, more than 1 million people remain at a decline (the number of births minus the number of deaths). During the difficult periods of the 90s and the beginning of the 2000s, the population decline never exceeded 1 million (an average of about 940 thousand per year from 1999 to 2002).
From 2013 to 2016, there was a natural influx in Russia, and now there are problems again. 2022 will be a little better than the terrible 2021, but one of the lonely ones in Russian history.
Extremely low birth rate, which has collapsed to 8.8 per 1,000 population, and the lowest birth rate in modern Russia was in 1999 at the level of 8.6 people per 1000 population. reflection with it very high mortality – about 16-17 people per 1000 people with a “norm” of 13.
Secondly, demographic dips were previously compensated by the cleanliness of cleaning, which is 300-350 thousand people per year. From 1990 to 2021, net migration growth showed 8.68 million people.
Over the past 30 years in Russia, the registration inflow has always been sent, but 2022 may be the first year with a deviation in the registration balance. If in 2021 for the first half of the year the supervisory inflow exceeds 100 thousand, then in 2022 the outflow will be 100 thousand.
respectively, there are two negative consequences at once – terrible demographics due to record low birth rates and high death rates, plus this deviation of the pure procedure recorded in the history of Russia.