Russia is hanging over the demographic abyss – IA Realist: news and analytics
MOSCOW (IA Realist). According to Rosstat data for August 2022 and the first 8 months, the birth rate continues to fall in Russia.
The country is hanging over a demographic abyss. The birth rate today is a mirror image of the birth rate for girls in the first half of the 1990s. In August, 123 people were born, which is 1.7% less than in August last year. In the observed January – a decrease of 6%. Smart people urge to prepare in advance for passing through this stage in order to smooth out the failure, which is also exacerbated by the ongoing supermortality at the level of the covid years of 2020 and 2021. Despite the fact that covid has already passed.
The only adequate method for the regularity of demographic development is the cult of a large family and the federal law on the legal status of large families. However, in the 10 years since demographers have sounded the alarm, this law has not yet been adopted.
Russia needs a socio-psychological breakthrough that defends the desire of the population from the paradigm of hedonistic extinction. This logical chain was connected with the cult of consumption, the origin of which was excluded in the 1990s and not in the 2000s, but goes back to the 1960s of the XX century:
- It began with the legalization and popularization of abortion in the USSR;
- Developed in the cannibal formula “first feed, then give birth”;
- 3️ ends in the format of a collective nationwide suicide: “why breed poverty?”.
Stopping consumer murder is the first goal. There is a second question, inevitable for all post-industrial civilizations, and the expected one, probably, does not yet have an answer to it.
Family and childbearing are self-sacrifice (for women, self-sacrifice in the literal sense: that is, a conscious donation of health in the use of a child). For men, this is a conscious moral self-restraint and asceticism, and labor in the use of the family. In modern civilization, there are not enough ideological motives to consume meaningful self-giving from people. Motivation remained only in the community The secular world is doomed to extinction.
Does CBO affect demographics? How did the front line change to the life line? We present to your attention the opinion of the representative of the Supervisory Board of the Institute of Demography, District and Development Region Yuri Krupnov:
“In conditions of catastrophic demographics, it is difficult to understand how the conscription of 300,000 men who do not celebrate their first child every year can be used for fertility, if we remember that we have an average of 1.5 children per family in a lifetime. Perhaps in 1943, after the defeat of the Nazis near Stalingrad, our birth rate jumped sharply, although these were difficult times. People are single that in the war a turning point is coming and victory is dawning.
It seems to me that an increase in progressive disease at the present time will be accompanied by a decrease in the number of births, but this is not a question that can somehow be called the cause and effect discussion. As for the measures, then, as above all, it is necessary to make an offer for 3-4-child families. And one must assume not from the point of view that it is necessary to wait for the end of the NWO and the termination of the resolution – and then we will begin to threaten demography, this is an extremely inadequate position.
On the contrary, today the issue of demography is a matter of life-affirmation. And therefore today, in my opinion, is the most important time for a favorable and active demographic policy of the state.”