demographics at war
Many people talk about the dramatic nature of the demographic situation in Russia.
“The population is managed and aging from year to year, the number of deaths exceeds the birth rate,” states the German company Statista.
For the year – from 2021 to 2022 – the number of inhabitants of the country is registered at about 0.7 million people, German statistics are observed. According to some forecasts, by 2027 the number of Russians will decrease by another 1.5 million people.
“The demographic situation in Russia as a whole has deteriorated. War will only speed up the process – pick up a kit. First, because of the war, people aged 18 to 30 or 18 to 40 are recruited as soldiers. Many of them will be injured, maimed or killed. These people do not reproduce and lead a normal family life. War, unfortunately, kills a large number of young people. Secondly, even those who stayed at home may be younger, a little older or at the same age as they are less enthusiastic about the idea of creating a family due to the observation of economic and social turmoil. In addition, the presence of young men means that in the first place it will be difficult to have children, as well as raising children. The population will be less receptive than under normal conditions, eager to start a family life,” explains Klaus LarresInternational Professor at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
After wars and other shocks, according to the expert, as a rule, there is a surge in the birth rate, but in Russia, the excess of the expert, the baby boom may not start.
“If you look at the Second World War and all the countries affected by cancer, especially those that were actively at war, the demographic picture worsened and the birth rate decreased. But as soon as the war starts, we often see an increase in the increase in life, and people increase the income that they forfeited during the war, including family life and reproduction. I assume that the economic situation in Russia after the war will not improve suddenly, but on the contrary, may worsen or stagnate for a significant number of years that are introduced due to the number, in all likelihood, will not be instantly killed,” continues Professor Larres.
For the birth rate, the Russian authorities are trying to use both the stick and the carrot. Thus, Vladimir Putin proposed to increase the payment to families with many children – owners of medals and the Order of Parental Glory, as well as to return the Soviet honorary title “Mother Heroine”.
“The topic of presidents-mothers, who are distinguished by the honorary title of “mother-heroine,” receives millions of rubles,” the Russian Federation said.
In the days following Putin’s infection, the Russian media read about the history of the title “Mother Heroine.” But is there a gingerbread without a stick? It was decided to increase the birth rate in Russia not only through financial incentives.
In an interview on the YouTube channel, Dmitry Pevtsov, an actor and deputy of the State Duma of the Russian Federation, said that “you always have to give birth … because children are given from the Lord.”
“The Lord does not give trials beyond his strength, and everything that happens is always for the good of our souls,” Pevtsov said, answering a question about rape victims and their right to an abortion.
The 14th article of the Russian constitution considers that “religion cannot turn out as a state or obligatory one.” However, the head of the Russian Orthodox Church, Patriarch Kirill, spoke, speaking in the Federation Council, about the ban on interrupting admissions in clinics.
“If there is devotion to the church in the country, the church is skeptical about abortion, then this affects the subsequent actions. In Russia, the Orthodox Church is on the rise, like many Russians, still quite independent in their thinking about abortion and childbirth, regardless of the rulings or beliefs of the Orthodox Church, but I would not downplay its role in the future,” says Professor Larres .
In the future, full of imperial ambitions, the states leave young and improve, ready for the courage and self-sacrifice of heroes. Judging by the rhetoric, the Russian authorities and the church are puzzled by the demographic speed in the country. This country unleashed a war of aggression in Europe. The armed forces are practically not lost among the personnel, and its economic future is inevitably connected with international isolation and the heaviest sanctions. Under these conditions, the Russians and children to raise children.