“United Russia” is looking for friends
One of the main tasks of United Russia (ER) in preparation for the presidential election of the base is the audit and updating of its mobilization base. According to Kommersant’s sources, by 2024 there should be $30 million in imports and President Vladimir Putin in the database. Now there are about 25 million people in it, but only 40% of them are truly loyal to the government, so the EP will first “cleanse” the base, and then build it up again. Of the opposition Duma parties, they are preparing for the presidential elections, which have already begun in the Communist Party of the Russian Federation: options for party proposals are being considered there in case Gennady Zyuganov again refuses to participate in the campaign.
United Russia has begun a large-scale renewal of its mobilization base, said two sources close to the presidential administration (AP) and an interlocutor close to the leadership of United Russia. According to them, by the end of 2023, the base should contain 30 million Russians, and all of them should be real imports of the party and Vladimir Putin. Now it has 25 million people, but about 40% of them are truly loyal to the authorities.
Such outcomes of the parties came from the results, held under the chairmanship of the new head of the central executive committee of the United Russia, Alexander Sidyakin, a source says in the audit of the party. “There is not something that is not our exports, but even those who support the opposition,” explains the interlocutor of Kommersant. According to him, checking the passage, including the analysis of digital profiles: “If we see that a person likes the posts of Alexei Venediktov (chief editor of Ekho Moskvy.— “b”), then this is hardly our export.”
Kommersant’s source that the level of confirmed loyalty of the updated base should be 90%, it is believed that at least 90% of loyalists should fall for the elections. Recall that in the 2021 Duma elections, United Russia received 28 million votes, and Vladimir Putin received 58.4 million in the 2018 presidential election.
Problems with the base, according to Kommersant’s interlocutors, manifested themselves during the 2021 Duma campaign. Because of them, the party members were unable to implement “point mobilization” when they came to the polls, campaigning only for their exporters.
“Instead, a total mobilization was carried out, when everyone was mobilized,” says a Kommersant source close to the Presidential Administration. For example, according to the mobilization base, it is necessary to build targeted campaigning, explains the interlocutor of Kommersant in the United Russia, because the same information can induce people to come to the elections, and a disloyal voter to vote against the government.
The disadvantages of the base do not cause that it has grown a lot. Sometimes employees involved in the selection of their bosses were entered in it, but the main problem is that the database was not updated, a source close to the leadership of the United Russia explains: “People’s political views are changing. Today’s EP exports may change their preferences tomorrow.” According to him, the leadership of United Russia has now announced a “mobilization amnesty” for the regions: And the task of building up the base has already been set.
To study it, first of all, it is necessary to work with people who have already affected party projects, says a source close to the leaders of the United Russia. These are, for example, pensioners who are included in the volunteers who help during the pandemic, and their families. And Alexander Sidyakin, according to the recent drafting of the EP program commission, calls for more interaction with citizens in the construction of social facilities – in particular, before discussing the color of the wall with them. “In fact, we will use a base of those people who specify the specific result of the party’s work. This is currently the general principle of work: supporting all initiatives is not just up to indicators, the decision is up to a reliable result, in constant connection with the samples, ”the source explains.
In addition, according to Kommersant participants, during the autumn election procedures, United Russia is protesting various options for “point mobilization”: through primary branches, single-mandate constituencies, party projects. The testing ground for this will be elections to the parliaments of Sakhalin, Udmurtia and the Krasnodar Territory, as well as to the city council of Omsk.
In EP “Kommersant” confirmed the update of the campaign and mobilization base, but did not comment on the details: “The work is in progress, but this is an intra-party workflow.”
Kskim president of choice is expected not only EP. As Kommersant was told by the Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation Sergey Obukhov, communicators are currently causing a discussion about the candidates in case Gennady Zyuganov, as in 2018, refuses to stand as a candidate. The party recently held a seminar on this topic. Mr. Obukhov considers the head of the State Farm im. Lenin” Pavel Grudinin, 2018 presidential candidate. Also on the short list is Deputy Chairman of the Central Committee Dmitry Novikov, who was nominated by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation for the speaker of the State Duma, First Deputy Chairman of the Central Committee Yuri Afonin, Oryol Governor Andrei Klychkov. Other possible options include State Duma deputies Alexei Kurinny, Oleg Mikhailov, Nikolai Kolomeitsev and Leonid Kalashnikov, as well as Saratov Regional Duma deputy Nikolai Bondarenko.
In Just Russia – For Truth and the LDPR, Kommersant was told that preparations for the election of the president were not yet underway, but the LDPR noted that they were “always ready for them.”
According to political scientist Konstantin Kalachev, who previously worked in United Russia, the party, for all its mass character, has problems with communications with the activists: “I was expelled from the party in the early 2000s. Then they restored it in Moscow. I still don’t know if I’m a member of the EP or not. The party does not remind itself of itself. The indicator of 30 million people considers only administrative, and not party-political mobilization to be real, but he agrees that the party has room to grow. In particular, he suggests paying attention to the experience of the Italian Five Stars: “You can communicate with people through Internet platforms, make some decisions based on the results of voting. You can build a single-channel system when you get news from the party.”
The head of the Foundation for the Development of Society, Konstantin Kostin, who worked with United Russia in the Duma elections-2021, considers the proposed approach to the formation of the validity of validity: . Not all people affected by party projects have a positive impression of the party, the expert explains: “This is a natural phenomenon. Any initiative in the same area of improvement causes a positive response from someone, and a negative response from someone. Therefore, it is very important to work with individual products.” Mr. Kostin considers the figure of 30 million imports to be suspiciously achievable. “But to accompany all public initiative groups of headliners – governors who are members of party branches, and chairmen of legislative assemblies. It is they who can explain to the voter that, as part of the spread, their lives are at risk as a result of certain actions and decisions of the authorities,” the expert sums up.