TOGETHER high profits in Prague helped, YES succeeded in municipalities with a share of older people – ČT24 – Czech Television
If we focus on comparing the results in individual municipalities according to their size, we will find significant differences in the electoral gains of the parties. The TOTAL coalition became the winner of the parliamentary elections in terms of gaining votes. I supported 27.8 percent of voters. She owes her success mainly to the voters in Prague, their vote suited her forty percent of them.
Compared to other cities with more than a hundred thousand inhabitants, the difference is really big. In these coalitions TOTAL, they gained on average only twenty-eight percent compared to Prague. Prague voters were also in favor of a coalition of Pirates and STAN (22.6 percent of the vote). In both cases, greater support exceeds other political groupings.
The TOTAL coalition won in a smaller number of municipalities (a total of 2344) than the YES movement, but for the overall result, the size of the settlements was such. TOGETHER they managed to win in big cities, the movement of the current Prime Minister Babiš continues, winning in 3732 municipalities, but smaller in size. The pirates, together with STAN, won in only 119 villages. In small municipalities and cities, with the exception of Prague, YES also have higher profits as a result, but there were fewer voters in these municipalities.
In municipalities with less than 10,000 inhabitants, the ANO movement held balanced elected support of about twenty-nine percent. Even with larger cities with more than a hundred thousand inhabitants, a slight decline in the movement’s preferences was evident. In Prague, the YES movement had only seventeen percent of the vote and finished third behind the coalition of Pirates and Mayors. As can be seen in the graph below, it is in this coalition that there is an obvious increase in preferences with a growing population of municipalities and cities. The coalition fails to reach voters in municipalities with less than five hundred inhabitants, where the group suffers from only thirteen percent of the vote. In hundreds of thousands of cities, it was still eighteen percent. But even that was less than expected according to election polls.
The KSČM is a completely opposite example. The bigger the city, the lower the number of votes for the Communist Party. In the capital, for example, the Communists won only two percent of the vote. As can be seen from the graph, the CSSD’s support is carefully balanced. But also too low for the party to get into the House.
Voter turnout
The highest turnout was in Prague. It significantly helped the TOTAL coalition to win and also to prevent them, together with the Pirates and STAN coalition, from considering post-election cooperation and the formation of a majority of governments.
However, the high turnout was in the smallest municipalities with thousands of inhabitants. Conversely, users can vote in cities with between ten and hundreds of inhabitants. Turnout was eight percentage points lower than in Prague.
Higher unemployment favorable for YES and SPD
A common feature of the YES and SPD movements is that they manage to reach voters in municipalities with higher unemployment. The more unemployed there are in the municipalities, the better the electoral gains of both political groups here. They are most successful in municipalities where unemployment is above eight percent of the population. The YES movement was able to successfully reach over thirty-four percent of the electorate. And the SPD will also get more support in them.
This relationship is even stronger for the YES movement than for the SPD, with each increase in unemployment in the village by one percent, the movement’s profit increased by almost half a percent. This is also one of the reasons why the left-wing CSSD and KSCM failed in the elections. And yet, in their programs, they address the topic of unemployment, most often to sufficiently address voters in municipalities with a higher rate of unemployed people.
A completely opposite relationship between the electoral services and the unemployment rate in the village is with SPOLU and the coalition of Pirates and STAN. The highest support can be obtained in municipalities where the rate of unemployed is below two percent. The higher the unemployment rate in the municipality, the less successful both coalitions are.
Who elects whom?
A deeper analysis of election results, which combines election results in individual municipalities and their inhabitants according to education, gender or age, makes it possible to find out which voters support which electoral party.
TOTAL can rely on high support for people with a university degree. The higher the share of university students in the municipality, the higher the TOTAL coalition achieved electoral gains. The coalition was particularly successful in large cities, where people with more education were concentrated. The growing trend between the share of university students and the most significant support in the red line charts. The data show that with each increase in the share of university students in the municipality by one percent, this coalition will receive an additional percentage of support. The opposite trend could be observed in the YES movement. The more people there have graduated from university, they get votes less.