The danger for the Republic of Moldova in case of the fall of Odessa into the hands of the Russians. “It is the key point of defense in southern Ukraine”
The war in Ukraine shows no signs of ending soon, although experts say there is a possibility of a ceasefire near May 9th.
There is no guarantee that after May 9, Russia will not attack again, more aggressively, other regions that it has set out to conquer. Recently, the hypothesis has been circulating that he would like Odessa, a region in the Black Sea, and in these conditions, some analysts say that there is a danger regarding the Republic of Moldova.
At the moment, this is just a hypothesis, but there is no question of zero risk in this case.
Colonel (r.) Ion Petrescu, expert and military analyst, explained in an interview for Ziare.com. expands the territory and who is the European leader who could negotiate peace with the Russian president.
Putin’s territorial “lust”: Russian Federation to cross former Soviet socialist republics
An end to the conflict in Ukraine is expected on May 7, but it is unlikely that fighting will not resume again after the May 9 festivities in Russia. Reserve Colonel Ion Petrescu also explained why it would be possible or such a continuation of the war.
“We will see if this” special military operation “ends on May 7. As things stand now, it will probably continue after May 9th. Or, from a purely propagandistic perspective, what is happening in Ukraine, and we are talking about a war between the Russian expeditionary force and the Ukrainian army, will continue this confrontation because Putin wants at all costs, even with the lives of thousands of soldiers. Russians, for his birthday, on October 7, 2022, when he turns 70, to offer something to the Russian Federation.
And this “something” has to do with the territorial desire to have the borders of the Russian Federation, the former Soviet socialist republics. Now the focus is on Ukraine, with the Baltic countries, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and, unfortunately, the Republic of Moldova remaining on the list.
It is not excluded that Putin wants Odessa, and then Romania will have the Russians even closer, and the Republic of Moldova would be in danger. For the time being, there is no question of a massive attack in this region.
“I want to make a point here. When we analyze different hypotheses, it does not mean that we take Moscow’s side, nor that we give ideas to the aggressor, but it is a cold analysis. If Odessa were to be attacked from all sides as a result of the possible but unsafe occupation of Nikolaev, which is now resisting with extraordinary force and is in fact the key point of defense in southern Ukraine, then we cannot think of strictly military point of view when creating two massive military columns: one to leave Odessa for Transnistria, and another to take over first in the military administration, then in the civilian administration of the former Romanian historical counties, Cahul, Bolgrad and Ismail.
But, for now, what I told you is just a hypothesis “, the military expert explained.
Who among the world leaders could negotiate peace with Vladimir Putin
Russian and Ukrainian diplomatic teams have met four times to negotiate an armistice over the armed conflict in Ukraine. It seems that a first step has been taken, but what is really wanted is far from happening in the next period. And yet there is, in the opinion of Colonel (r.) Ion Petrescu, a European leader who could negotiate a direct ceasefire with Vladimir Putin.
“It simply came to our notice then. Namely, at the moment, only the President of France, Emmanuel Macron, has had the wisdom to get over the moments of cynicism, as he called them, of Vladimir Putin and to continue the telephone dialogue.
In fact, he is the only relevant European leader who has continued to argue for a ceasefire that could be even partial, only in certain areas, and for the stability of humanitarian corridors, one of which would allow the exit. . other civilians from the siege of the city of Mariupol, where initially there were 420,000 inhabitants, and now there are less than 100,000, and among them are the defenders of this city “, the military analyst explained.
The colonel also explained that at this moment we could consider a symbolic ceasefire on May 7 “on the occasion of the cessation of the special military operation” if we do not take after the deadline given by Vladimir Putin to General Valeri Gherasimov, Chief of Staff of the Russian Army. . For now, the armistice remains a mere wish.
“President Putin is at a time when he knows he has exactly one month left until May 9, when the military parade in Moscow’s Red Square will take place, and he must present himself to the Russian nation with something.
For the time being, there is no significant movement other than the decision to withdraw the original troops north of Kyiv. This much-trumpeted focus on the conquest of the West Donbas is unrealistic because it is the area of special operations set up for years by the Kyiv authorities, where 30,000 well-trained and well-equipped Ukrainian soldiers maintain the defensive line, the trench. mainly to keep the separatists in their area in the eastern part of the Donbas region.
But, to be extremely realistic, at the moment it is just a desideratum, due to the mistrust between the negotiation delegations recognized by both parties “, stated Colonel Ion Petrescu.
There are a number of war crimes that need to be investigated by European prosecutors
After leaving Kiev, the horrors of Russian soldiers in the suburbs of the Ukrainian capital came to light. Most likely, the international experts will be able to be you and find a way to make you pay for what they did.
“First of all, we must point out to those interested in this subject that if we talk about war crime, it means killing, torturing prisoners of war, meaning capturing and killing hostages, what happened in Bucea, unjustified destruction of civilian infrastructure, which, as we know, is a reality in the big Ukrainian cities, the destruction of homes and settlements without the need for military involvement, which, as far as we know, has also affected rural areas in Ukraine subject to military aggression by the Russian Federation.
As such, it is a number of war crimes that must be paid by independent European prosecutors. Officials of the International Criminal Court must also be present at the scene to determine who was killed, in these circumstances, what witnesses exist, what evidence, in order to prepare in an unequivocal manner the appropriate files even if the trial of those who he takes care of himself. committed such acts will not be done immediately, but for a certain gap of the future.
The good news is that at the moment we are talking about a trip to Kyiv by Ursula von der Leyen (no interview was taken before the visit of the senior European official in Ukraine), the President of the European Commission and Josep Borrell who want to convince the face the realities of Ukraine, the difficulties faced by the Kyiv authorities “, explained the military expert.
Who could oust Putin from power?
European states have imposed new sanctions on Russia, and the economic effects are already being felt. Analyst Ion Petrescu believes that it is only a matter of time before ordinary citizens of Russia, affected by these sanctions, will react. However, this is not where the danger of ousting the Russian president comes from.
“Russian sanctions are already being felt, and the Russian ambassador to the United States has acknowledged that these sanctions, such as the two, against banks are causing direct harm to ordinary people. It is a time when an increasing number of ordinary Russian citizens will be affected by these sanctions and will have different forms of reaction.
But we will probably not know when, how and where we will witness the spontaneous actions in the street. But we must not get drunk with cold water. These will not lead to the end of Putin’s regime in the Russian Federation.
The only area that could come with a surprise move that would lead to another way of leading the Russian Federation and establishing the dialogue of civilization with the state of the democratic community in Europe is just the army area, “said the colonel.
The specialist also explained why such a reaction of the army could happen.
Let us not forget that the army of the Russian Federation, which was involved with 200,000 men in the “special military operation” ordered by Putin in Ukraine, is the most humiliated. She is turned away from the wall of public infamy because among them were soldiers who carried out the massacre north of Kyiv with initially 400 deaths announced by the authorities there and it is discovered that there are other situations in which civilians were killed with bestiality.
Even US President Joe Biden said: “The signs of people being raped, tortured, executed, in some cases with their bodies desecrated are a scandal to our common unity.” We will see what it will be, what is long, which means that in the months Ukraine will continue to be subjected to Russian military aggression. And the Ukrainian Foreign Minister was right when he was at NATO headquarters and attended the meeting of counterparts from Alliance members, in order to continue to resist “Ukraine needs weapons, weapons and armor”, especially Colonel Ion Petrescu. .
Russia launched a war against Ukraine on February 24, 2022. In more than six weeks of war, there have been huge losses in both camps. Following the withdrawal of Russians from the Kiev region, Ukrainian authorities have uncovered hundreds of civilians who have been brutally killed by Putin’s army.