Stratfor: What consequences for Poland will be stopped Russia’s invasion of Ukraine?
Poland is not directly exposed to attack from Russia, but the conflict in Ukraine may have consequences for the Polish economy. In turn, migrants can, over time, trigger the phenomenon of moods in society – write a Stratfor analyst.
In the short pages that were introduced to the invasion, analysts with a wonderful research firm Strategy that while one of the other geopolitical sides of Poland is a direct military fleet available from Russia, such a scenario is unlikely. Complementing the alliance is interested in alliance with NATO, alliance alliance and alliance alliance since 1999 together supplemented collective defense.
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg visibility Poland on March 1. For the speech after the speech after the meeting with President Andrzej Duda on the grounds that “NATO’s alliance will always back up on its mutual protection and”.
Stratfor mentions, however, that Russia may nevertheless undertake other actions against Poland, such as cyber attacks and disinformation against Poland. At the same time, Poland, in balance with the eastern alternative, hopes for the military, although now, as one of the NATO countries, it is spending every 2 percent on defense. GDP.
Losses
Analysts point out that only the fact that only Ukrainians are very commercial Ukrainians who are not trade traders (even as much as 2 percent of exports) can have a negative impact on the economy. Increasing download prices in the world may lead to further increases (which as part of further growth, 9.2%), prolonged maintenance due to the lack of further interest, indifferent to Polish companies.
Stratfor means that Poland in the last years of its new energy organization, inter alia, by importing LNG at the expense of gas from the side.
Also read: Poland will do without Russian coal, and we will move away from gas in a few months
From the point of view of drawing up a dispute on the freezing of Poland with the European Union, which order number I cut off the country from the means – means for analysis. However, this may be a short-term effect.
The case to Poland so far, the strategy meets with a positive, solid reaction, but with positive Poles, they can stay like moods and moods as well as places for goals, there will be samoniaks ”.
Analyticality also equals the equal impact of the mass survey of the inhabitants of Ukraine on the natural and natural in Poland.
According to UN data, over 500,000 people have already left Ukraine. people, including companies – almost 300 thousand. – she came to Poland, where she had lived so far, there were already 1.5 million Ukrainians working.
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