Reasons in Poland and in the world. Why such large price increases as well as gas and energy bills?
Inflation has been one of the main media spots for weeks. Not without a reason – price increases. The data of the Central Statistical Office show that we closed the past year 2021 with markers at the level of 8.6 percent. (December data on a year-to-year basis). The problem, however, is not intended for Poland – prices are soaring around the world. Why such high inflation and what is the connection with the increases in energy and gas prices?
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Last Friday, the Central Statistical Office informed that retailers and consumer services on sale in 2021 increased by 8.6% year on year. In prices with months, prices were obtained by 0.9.
Effective aid programs, but at a price
Inflation has been rising systematically since 2021 (first at 2.4%), and the most noticeable increases were, among others, material prices, returns or fuel. He had his share at the same time, but it will also not be related to the trends related to the dynamics and dynamics that are hurting, made changes related to the tightening and restrictions related to the pandemic.
Source: Infogafika PAP
Global problem
More expensive food, clothes – for glamorous fabrics and fuels all over the world. Record markers of England in recent months in Great Britain, USA, the Netherlands and Germany – more in this article.
Already in 2020 in trade with the tvp.info portal prof. Witold Modzelewski, president of the Tax Institutes, studied that money is in excess. However, it was still a viral state-owned state – governments with the current solutions in the world came out with additional aid programs, facilitating central banks.
The numerical value of money has been pumped into the economic circuit. The result is a stabilization of the economy – in Poland for an immediate rebound, an increase in the growth rate of 1 point growth. percent
How will inflation affect the economy? The expert has no doubts
High inflation of the non-Polish economy – in 2022 the growth rate will be 4.3%.
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In 2021, a large number of large for economic food – rose industrial production, she realized also put off consumption expectations quickly. Not all market segments coped with such strong supply and demand turbulences.
Famous supply chains. The costs increased even sevenfold
the most important of the main causes of health problems with the ship – from the Asian market. Supply chains, broken in the pandemic’s ring, overshadowed the prices of products and intermediates in Europe and the US.
The cost of sea freight increases and the birth of seven, the result is an increase in prices for industry and consumer goods Global fertilizer prices by up to 150% and oil prices by up to 70%. Every year – Marcin Klucznik told the tvp.info portal at the beginning of 2022, analysts from the team of economic staff of the Polish Economic Institute.
Increase in food and energy prices
Expert support for fertilizer costs, which also translate into food prices. However, the rises in energy costs are most felt.
In Europe, Russia’s gas blackmail played a major role. It also translated into the Polish market, small – in our country only 10 percent. energy is from gas. The biggest impact on the situation in Poland, which has the cost of CO2 emissions, is the ETS.
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Rising central bank rates, which appeared in several cases in connection with the increase in NBP interest rates, due to market cooling. So far, the Monetary Policy Council has made a decision on the next four changes.
What’s next for inflation? Expert forecasts
According to the author, the cost correction has been systematically decreasing in the small months due to stagnation in the service reviews. “As of October, production growth in China began to slow down: from 13.5 to 10.3 percent. currently. These favorable changes were conducive to changes in European slowdowns.
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Chief economist of Bank Pekao aired on TVP Info during the week Ernest Pytlarczyk 2022 coins that an overlap of 23 can happen in a year. – 2022 as the year is lost. In Europe, we are already exchanging with the world and these prices simply jumped at the turn of the year, so they will be exchanging quite quickly – he mentioned.
Anti-inflationary shield in Poland. Inflation down by as much as 3.5 points.
For the allocation in Poland also the government, the government, the so-called anti-inflationary shield 2.0, which: lowered VAT on utilities: for gas to 0 percent; for electricity up to 5 percent and hot to 5 percent There is also a reduction in VAT to 0%. for food – see who saves how much.
How will it affect inflation? The result of the Goldman Sachs indices allows the anti-inflationary shield to cut inflation as much as possible by 3.0-3.5. – according to the report published on Friday. They also noticed, however, that high inflation would also accompany us in the coming year.
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source:
tvp.info portal, PAP, IAR
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