Sweden is preparing for a massive shift in security and defence
The armed forces look to the future
Last week, the Swedish Armed Forces’ perspective study 2002 was also published. It was carried out during the period 2019-2022, through contributions from all functions and branches of defense as well as various relevant authorities and actors. Among these is the Total Defense Research Institute (FOI).
The study has also been included in NATO’s strategic foresight analysis and includes cooperation with Finland and Norway.
The final report was submitted to the Ministry of Defense on October 31, shortly before Defense chief Micael Bydèn gave the government his military advice on Swedish NATO membership and proposals for capacity development. He recommends, among other things, that the Armed Forces be given additional resources and that such grants be based on the perspective study and coordinated with NATO’s planning process.
“We cannot rule out a more serious development. We are not ruling anything out now,” General Bydèn pointed out as he presented his advice.
The perspective study consists of a military strategic analysis up to 2045 and proposals for a future structure within the Armed Forces. It contains knowledge and assessments for further political decision-making – in addition to and alongside the adopted defense policy direction and current plans.
Some key points
The study’s analysis results mean that the long-term level of ambition for the Armed Forces must be raised, which Bydèn suggests.
The growth that will take place for the Armed Forces until 2030 will strengthen the ability to take more responsibility in an alliance context for security in its own vicinity and internationally. However, it is not considered sufficient in the face of uncertain global developments:
“Rapid changes in international politics and a continued high level of tension are to be expected, which means that Sweden must be able to handle a high level of conflict both globally and regionally.”
For example, the study emphasizes that extra measures must be taken to increase regional presence, as well as strengthening the ability to receive and facilitate allied forces. As High North News previously reported, the defense chief is proposing the establishment of a new military force in the municipality of Kiruna, Northern Sweden.
The proposed future defense structure will “through its size, flexibility and modern content provide a significant addition to Sweden’s and NATO’s capacity in Northern Europe in particular.” It is outlined that NATO membership requires more military units with high readiness, i.a
Furthermore, the study proposes an expansion of the Armed Forces by approximately 40,000 people and an increased proportion of those on standby duty.