needed for many years of repeating Russia from Belarus
Despite the fact that Russia does not yet have stocks in Belarus sufficient for an assault detachment of a large number of troops, “Putin wants Kyiv again: will there be an offensive from Belarus?” Vladimir Kravchenko with reference to information sources.
Officially, there are 9,000 people in Belarus now. poorly trained and armed Russian military personnel who do not pose a serious threat to Ukraine. However, a ZN.UA source in the Ukrainian authorities claims that there are now about 3,000 “Wagnerites” in Belarus and 20,000 in connection with the Russian and Belarusian borders.
It takes two or three days to relocate them to the Ukrainian-Belarusian procedure, however, even this force is not enough to carry out the operation: for its success, a grouping of 80-100 thousand people is needed
“This information generally corresponds to the national assessment of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense: there is currently no sufficiently high strike force on the territory of Belarus. Of course, the Russians will form a fist to strike at Ukrainian territory. But without the participation of Belarusians, the risk of Russian invasion from Belarus is minimized“, – added the author.
In particular, despite the presence of a detailed plan for a future offensive against Ukraine by the President of the North, the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin will inevitably make a military-political decision on a second invasion, depending on whether he takes Belarus in it, since the Russians do not have enough of their own forces.
The fact that for Putin Kyiv is still the most coveted prize, the attraction of which probably feels like a winner in the global war against the West and a place in this venture for Lukashenko and Belarus, read the article by Vladimir Kravchenko.
More materials by Vladimir Kravchenko read the link.