The situation at the 7th housing 2022 workshop – August [Raport BIG DATA RynekPierwotny.pl]| FXMAG INVESTOR
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The attention of apartment buyers is currently focused on prices. The radical cut announced by some analysts and experts is appreciated by counting, especially those who have to use credit. Their financial capabilities are related to financial matters. The Credit Information Bureau (BIK) reported that in July, banks granted only 9,000. home loans. For, in the period preceding the period of their 24 thousand.
The drama has also shrunk, it has diminished. In July, there were just over 14.1 thousand of them, which is nearly 28% less than in as much as 8%, less than in a typical period of around 6 years. In BIK, they even talk about the “apocalypse in housing loans”.
Sales of apartments
From August BIG DATA data RynekPierwotny.pl It shows that in 7 communes developers have a total of 24 investors, which is 3% better than in July. Of course, in the course of August 2021, it was sold, and by as much as 45%.
However, only as a result, sales services will take place than in July, and still do not match the annual monthly value of 2,851 apartments. Let us add that last year’s monthly average in the period up to 4,490 premises.
For example, creating new sales of new apartments in the case of Poznań and Łódź. In the capital of Wielkopolska, in June and July you can improve your sales results. Meanwhile, it improved with its task, and by as much as 56%. The number of contract development services is back than in memorable 2020, when sales reached a standstill due to the garden lockdown with the Covid-19 pandemic. According to the website of RynkuPierwot.pl, terrible results were also recorded by developers from Łódź, whose sales in the report fell by 37% after the increase in July by 32%. There is also no trace of the July boom in Gdańsk, where sales of flats sold decreased by 19% at that time. Such a poor result has not been recorded in this city for nearly two years.
Traditionally, however, in fact, the actual situation in each city is very different. Growing percentage of loans not announced everywhere. Warsaw developers can sell their sales with an increase of 25% in the next. We deal with the computing system in Wrocław and Katowice. Sales there at 32% and 58%, respectively, while in both of these cities, July was weaker in terms of sales than June. On the other hand, in Krakow, August with stabilization after the July demand revival.
There was speed in all the city lights than before. In the period of 8 months of this year, developers sold a total of only approx. 22.8 thousand. dwellings, ie 37% less than in the corresponding period of the year. It should be noted that it shrank at the earliest in Wrocław (48%) and Gdańsk (42%).
Housing supply
Next, developers launched a total of 2,557 apartments for sale in 7 cities, 15% less than in July.
As expected by the experts of the RynekPierwotny.pl portal, after the June supply boom, when more new offers were introduced to the market than in May and August, the supply activity of the development company ceased. It is worth noting that the reference point, the point of reference in Gdańsk, Warsaw, the starting point, 1 sale of apartments to “make it on time” before the entry into force from 1 year. a new developer act, which imposed new investments that have an impact on the implementation of the investment. However, you can see that the developers are trying to adapt their own individual investment or ordinary. In the USA, 20% of the city’s inhabitants have an impact on sales in Krakow, Katowice on the development market. Literally premises were introduced there.
There are also the same and such cities – Warsaw, Gdańsk and Łódź – in which the authors are to supplement their offer, introducing more sales than in the case of apartments. In Warsaw, 42% more, and even more than 2 months earlier.
It is worth noting that only in 2 of the 7 analyzed cities – Warsaw and Gdańsk – developers launched more apartments for sale than they had sold. In permanent cities, there are too few of them on the market in relation to the needs.
The supply-demand situation looks better from the perspective of prospective, if we compare the apartments for sale and sold within 8 months. We have observed a surplus of new supply and demand in almost all metropolises. The exception where the number of residents on the market was minimal than that sold.
August will see a 3% increase in the offer in July. There were a total of over 36.3 thousand. flats, which means that the August offer was 19% greater than last year’s.
It is worth remembering, however, that also in this respect the situation in individual cities is very diverse. The administrator recognizes 7% of apartment sales in the development company’s offer. The winners had a choice of 3.5 thousand. apartments. In turn, in Katowice, the offer decreased by 5% to 1.4 thousand. apartments. Potential buyers of apartments in Kraków, Wrocław and Łódź also had a slightly smaller choice. The offer of flats and inhabitants is in Warsaw. Nearly 11.6 thousand people waited for buyers in the capital. premises. You claim that such large volumes of new housing in this city was the place in 2020.
Housing prices
Data from BIG DATA RynekPierwotny.pl show that August stabilized the average prices per square meter of housing offered by a developer in Warsaw and Katowice. In Kraków, Gdańsk, Łódź and Poznań, the price of housing has increased, but only by an average of 1% per square meter. In favor of Wrocław, the average went up by as much as 3%.
Although the expected drops by subsequent buyers are the average offer prices not yet seen, to the next point that more and more the company is keeping the first progress and repair of the bonus, such as equipment or parking space in the price of the apartment. At the same time, the promotions on the company’s website de facto lowered the reductions, we will describe only selected titles or title.
On the other hand, the upward fluctuation of the price per square meter may only be the developers’ introduction to the sale of flats, but also the selling off of the cheapest ones. Such a notification in Wrocław. In there, the apartment is on sale for more than 16.3. PLN per square meter, ie the offer deviating from the source, which amounted to 11.8 thousand. PLN per meter. At the same time, approx. 9.5 thousand PLN average price of the square meters sold. The offer of Wrocław developers therefore excised from 45% to 42% share in the price of up to 10,000 PLN. PLN per square meter and from 30% to 33% in the game, the share of premises with more than 12 thousand. PLN per meter.
In the year of the year, changes that are more and more visible. Fast, fast, you can quickly, quickly, quickly, thanks to reaching cities, the availability of housing in affordable for people and families with average income, i.e. up to 8 thousand. PLN per sq m. Increasing construction costs mean that the costs related to the price continue to rise. In the last 12 months In all cities, there are no apartments with a price below this tool.
Author: Marek Wielgo, expert of the RynekPierwotny.pl portal