Portugal lives ″wave upon wave″. peak is unpredictable
The new Ómicron variant is an epidemic wave that originated on top of the last wave generated by the Delta variant, back in December. According to the latest wave caused by experts, the peak of this was expected in the previous week or this peak meets, but the truth is the latest wave caused by Delta will not peak. This is because “cases continue to increase the wave of sciences at the University of Lisbon, Professor Carlos, from the Faculty of Covid, from the University of Lisbon, but already due to evolution, it continues to increase by Ó Micron”, explains that the integration of the evolution of the University of Lisbon is an early model of the pandemic.
On Wednesday, the professor had already confirmed to DN that the peak of the Delta wave could have been postponed, but yesterday it was already a confirmed fact: “The peak has been postponed”. And proof of this is the growth recorded in R
According to the analysis of the Faculty of Sciences, Portugal “is starting a new climb and a higher pace. We are no longer being translated by the Delta wave – the stabilization stabilized on top of another wave. It’s like a replica. In this, induced by the abrupt increase in contacts within the student population, especially in the age groups between 0 and 5 years and 6 to 11 years, due to the opening of schools, day care centers and kindergartens, two weeks ago”.
The years of Carlos Antunes’ disease disclosure, the age group of 40 and the first who are between 40 and the first who are between 40 and the first who are between 40 and 49 mainly years. “Parents between the ages of 30 and 39 registered a greater increase in the number of cases, as they are the parents of children between 0 and 5 years old and from 6 to 11 years old. In the range of parents between 40 and 49, the was lower are parents of children and young people between the ages of 12 and 17”, warning: “The transmissibility verified in these age groups will now begin to spread to the community and all other groups.”
As he told DN, according to his team’s analysis, “transmissibility to the community is not yet visible. It should only be at the beginning of the coming week, when the impact of the opening of clubs and bars and the return to face-to-face will also begin. “. In such a way, that “the impact that the moving day could have and of more people on the street will not even be perceptible”, he argued.
These are predictable cases that 60,000 in a few days
the teacher. For example, regarding the period in which this new wave peaks, he even said: “It’s unpredictable, at the moment, we don’t know when it will happen.” What is predictable is that the number of cases in the country will continue to grow, “at least seven to ten days”, and may “reach up to the end of the week, which ranges from 60,000 to 70,000”.
But, he stressed, “everything will also depend on the response of the population”, because “what has been visible when there is an increase in cases of the population itself makes this risk retract, not going to public spaces, such as shopping centers, that people can keep and keep telecommuting and that they are not so much on transport, etc. One thing seems certain “is that we are going to see a continuous increase in the number of cases”.
Yesterday’s bulletin from the DGS also reported another increase in national and continental anomalies, which are approaching 5000 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants, respectively 4731.3 and 44674.0 per 100 thousand inhabitants. As for the increase in the total number of hospitalizations, the data reveal that there were more than 40 hospitalizations than in the last 24 hours, having gone from 2004 to 2044, although when it is verified, look at serious hospitalizations, in Intensive Care Units (ICU) , this Increase is not that significant, just another 10, bringing the total to 162.
For Professor Carlos Antunes, this has to do with the fact that “this variant is not having a major impact on hospitalization. We have a reduction of about 9% to 10% in hospitalizations compared to last year. we are having in the wards, but in the ICU it is stable”, adding: “We assume that ICU admissions can still result from Delta variant infections, we’re still having around 1500 cases daily.” It is recalled that those who are in the hospital have already stated that patients in covid wards are not there to treat a disease, but because they went to hospitals to treat other pathologies and were infected.
However, and as the professor says, there is no data on this situation. “In the United Kingdom, the statistics released that 40% of those hospitalized in wards for covid-19, in Portugal, this non-statistic is given. At the moment, we do not know the percentage of people in the Delta variant and already by Ómicron. which is the weight that this new variant has serious illness, and while we are not famous it is which is difficult to project”. We probably won’t get to but like 200 people occupied in the ICU and 2500 nurses.
Regarding deaths, the forecast is to increase, keeping the number above 40 daily. Portugal registered 58,530 new cases yesterday, adding up to a total of 2,118,125 infected, and 49 deaths, reaching 19,496 since the beginning of the pandemic.