odds for Toulouse to be the autumn champion?
With only 1 point behind Ajaccio’s first place, Toulouse FC can hope to end up as autumn champions at the end of the first leg. For this, he will have to take 1 point more than Ajaccio, hoping that Auxerre and Paris FC do not win. Based on the odds of the different bookmakers, we may be given certain odds for each club. Projection.
– If Ajaccio wins against Le Havre, then the other results do not matter: the Corsicans will stay ahead (combined probabilities of 56.97%). In the event of a draw, the men of Pantsi will have to hope that Toulouse loses and that Auxerre does not win (3.37%). Finally, if they lose, under the two aforementioned conditions, the Corsicans should add a lack of victory for Paris FC (0.88%). Total probability of being the fall champion: 61.22%.
– In case of victory for the Violets, it will simply be necessary that the Corsicans do not win to recover the first place (combined probabilities of 22.14%). If the men of Montanier only bring back one of the Costières, Ajaccio will have to lose and neither Auxer nor Paris FC will win (1.05%). Finally, a defeat would of course be crippling. Total probability of being a fall champion: 23.19%.
– Finally, the deal is very simple for Auxerre and Paris FC: not only must they win, but also they must hope that those who precede them do not win. Total probability of being autumn champion: 9.70% for Auxerre and 5.89% for Paris FC.
And you, do you think Toulouse will be the autumn champion?
Do you think Toulouse will be the autumn champion?