Experts: If the climate changes according to bad scenarios, Lithuania has no chance to survive
According to the climatologist prof. dr. Egidijus Rimkus, the climate situation can change in different ways, and it depends on different conditions.
“The climate can change due to the continent’s drift lasting a million years, with changes in the distribution of the sea and land or some currents of water, etc. This is a very long period of time, but there can also be rapid changes. The asteroid, for example, struck the earth at a time when dinosaurs were disappearing, and the climate was changing very rapidly.
We have had a long time with a colder or colder climate, but there is no other reason that can explain the current climate change than the warm chemical composition of the atmosphere, which is being changed by man. ”
As the video reports, glaciers are one of the most sensitive indicators of climate change. For example, the number of glaciers on the planet in the middle of the seventeenth century began to grow, the climate is cooling, this phenomenon is called “During the Lesser Ice Age. Later, the glaciers began to melt, suggesting that the climate is warming, and some decades of glaciers may disappear altogether.
According to E., in the past several hundred years, Ri icing was associated with astronomical factors, mostly climate change, but now this trend is changing.
“The anthropogenic impact was particularly pronounced after the 19th century. the end, when we have already begun to develop the industry; An industrial revolution is taking place “, said E. Rimkus.
According to the climatologist doc. dr. Justas Kažis, the majority of the Lithuanian population is quite skeptical or less receptive to the climate crisis.
According to the data of the Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service, in comparison with the 20th century. beginning, the average annual temperature in our country rose by more than 2 degrees. Human-caused climate change has sparked Arab North Africa, the video said.
“If we take, say, the twentieth century. In the 1990s, it was 30 degrees here once in 2-3 years, now it is 30 degrees every year, and we look at it completely normally, ”said prof. dr. E. Rimkus.
Hunger is a consequence of climate change
However, as the video says, some changes in temperature are a minor problem when looking more broadly at the effects of climate change, and here the focus is on the Middle East.
““The same Syrian war is caused by the great drought in Syria, when people migrate from villages to the city – one and a half million Syrians leave the villages to the city, tensions are rising in the cities, which is why the civil war is starting,” said E. Rimkus.
According to the Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service, human-induced climate change has driven the Arab average in Syria. reasons why an uprising broke out in the country in 2011.
“The Arab Spring is thought to have been partly provoked by the 2010 drought. As the central wheat harvest has fallen by 33% and Russia is a wheat exporter, an embargo has been imposed banning wheat exports from Russia, prices are rising all over the world and North Africa is taking to the streets as major importers, with bread prices rising sharply. And finally send that Arab generation. what does this lead to This leads to the migration crisis in Europe, “said E. Rimkus.
According to the writer Eglė Aukštakalnytė-Hansen, hunger was one of the main reasons why the conflict started and people began to flee their countries. Today, the whole world is seeing a migrant crisis that has affected Lithuania as well.
“We are currently fighting immigrants like any invasive species, not even humans. They may not even be able to explain why they are fleeing, attributing war or insecurity. In fact, that insecurity is looking for because it has nothing to eat, nothing to give to the family. Hunger is a consequence of climate change, “said E. Aukštakalnytė-Hansen.
Will have to adapt to newcomers
Scientists warn that the region is constantly drying up and hot, which calls for new environmental policies and a change in attitudes towards migrants.
“I would say that first of all we will have to adapt to the newcomers who will definitely come to Lithuania if the economic prosperity grows and we stick to it; no doubt climate migrants will come here. There are now a few hundred of them, and then there will be a few thousand and even more. This, of course, should change our cultural approach to arrival, ”said climatologist Justas Kažys.
“I think we are very much threatened globally. Imagine there are countries where the population has doubled or tripled in 30 years. We are very small, everyone wants to find a place to live beautifully, at least temporarily. I say, everything is related – if the climate changes according to bad scenarios, Lithuania has no chance to survive, we are too small, “said prof. dr. Egidijus Rimkus.
Experts suggest turning a blind eye and looking at climate change beyond the boundaries of our yard: the imminent changes that are imminent may draw a new and completely different map of the world.
“What is wrong here if the water in the Baltic Sea gets warmer? There is really nothing wrong with it, it will be warmer and we will be able to swim longer. ”
It is incomprehensible that we are part of the world and the world is globalized, the whole world is full of people. Let’s take Bangladesh – a country whose size, like Lithuania and Latvia combined, has a larger population than nearby. When there is a risk of drought or the like, they try to find ways to survive. As I counted, Pakistan and Nigeria have a larger population than the European Union as a whole. These are new migratory flows, there are several billion of them. Do you think that Lithuania has at least the slightest chance to stop all this? I think there are no predictions, ”shared climatologist E. Rimkus.
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