An offensive with Belarus in Ukraine is hardly possible – reasons
“During the first attack on Ukraine from the Belarusian bridgehead, the opponents operate about 40 battalion tactical groups. We are talking about the troops that were advancing in the Kyiv, Chernihiv and Sumy regions. story in the material.
Interviewed by RBC-Ukraine believe that in order to re-distribute from the north, the occupiers need to collect at least 40 armored personnel carriers again. At the same time, if we take into account the presence of separate groups, then this number may turn out to be too small. And the technical military, who are currently arriving in Belarus from the Russian Federation, is many times less.
In addition, these are almost unprepared mobilized, who are much worse infected and infected. Of the equipment, only cars, Kamaz trucks, Urals and a small amount of armored vehicles go with them.
These are not even battalion tactical groups – these are marching battalions, since a regular amount of equipment is provided for the BTG, for example, 11 tanks, 33 armored combat vehicles, anti-aircraft missile systems, multiple rocket launchers, self-propelled artillery mounts. from Russia to Belarus,” said Alexander Kovalenko, a military-political observer for the Information Resistance group.
In addition to being used, instead of transferring equipment to Belarus, it, on the contrary, is being taken out of the country. This is also recorded by the Ukrainian military intelligence, the monitoring group “Belarusian Gayun”.
It is noted that the Russians are lacking in the armed forces, already emptying local warehouses with the public, collecting tanks (mainly T-72A) and artillery systems. This is probably the main argument that raises suspicion that Belarus is preparing some kind of offensive operation.
In August, they took away more than 100 vehicles. It is impossible to carry out any large-scale military operations,” Kovalenko added.