Belarus. Ukraine unlikely to be attacked from north, defense against Lukashenka – Ukraine news, Politics
It is unlikely that the army of the Russian Federation and Belarus will attack Ukraine from the north, despite the statement of the dictator Alexandra Lukashenko. To such export came analysts from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
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Judicial decisions, despite the fact that Belarus and Russia are deploying a regional grouping of troops, have not defined clear deployment parameters.
It is noted that the composition of the components of any emerging groupings in Belarus is likely to consist of the average Russian economy, which is likely not to be considered in the future, as expected for Ukraine.
The Russians can add to this grouping the 1st Guards Tank Army, the 20th Combined Arms Army and landing units, which make up a significant share in Ukraine and have a significant combat capability.
Analysts believe the Kremlin could use additional forces in Belarus to pin down the Defense Forces near Kyiv and prevent them from being redeployed elsewhere to be captured in counteroffensives.
- On October 8, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Belarus summoned Ukrainian Ambassador Igor Kizim, who was handed a note that Ukraine intends to attack Belarus. The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry called it a provocation.
- After massive missile strikes on October 10, OK Sever reported that there were no breakthroughs or events from Belarus and Russia in the Chernihiv region.
- In Belarus, there are no signs of the formation of shock groups, declared in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
See also: Lukashenka has not yet made a final decision to start a war against Ukraine – GUR
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