Russia and Belarus may go on the offensive: the expert called the only condition
The army of Russia and Belarus can go on the offensive in the northern direction. Such a plan they are implemented only if Ukraine is defeated in the Donbass. Yuri Shulipa, director of the Institute for the Study of Russian Aggression, spoke about this in an interview with Glavred.
“Such a plan can be implemented only in one case – if the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffer the fifth defeat by military personnel in the Donbass. At present, the probability of this is equal, respectively, the offensive from the Belarusian territory to Ukraine is equally effective,” said Yury Shulipa.
The expert that the second time the occupiers will not be able to capture Kyiv or other northern territories of Ukraine. On this occasion, there are significant problems with mobilization in Russia.
“Taking into account the fact that they are starting to draft into the army those people who never hold onto weapons, and voluntary units from those people who are already over 50 years old, this suggests that they have problems with living health and they ” Do not solve your problems in the Lugansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Melitopol directions.
According to Shulipa, at present the occupiers are simply observing the observed maneuvers. The number of “captures” is equal to the number.
“The military-political leadership of the aggressor country itself hopes that if the Ukrainian defense forces in the southwest are somehow allocated to them by the court, they will begin to seize Ukraine, but with the support of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus,” Shulipa added.
He is also convinced that this is not an outcome, not only in the coming months, but never at all.
“For the simple reason that after the military-strategic position of Russia in Ukraine, the Russian Federation will cease to exist as a state,” Shulipa added.
We remind you that the leadership of Belarus is confused about infections: Lukashenka says that Belarus is a subject of war, the Ministry of Defense says the opposite. In Ukraine, from the war, reports were received from the Ministry of Defense of Azerbaijan, and they stated that it was Belarus that allowed the troops with its territory to invade Ukraine.
Military expert Nikolai Sungurovsky suggested that if Lukashenka still orders his army to attack Ukraine, it could go against his ruling regime. In such cases, Sungurovsky Lukashenko believes they will simply be swept away. Lead the possible ways of movement of the Belarusian, fighting members of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
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