Covid in Portugal. Music festivals and popular parties infect 340,000 people
The popular parties and music festivals that took place during the month of June, especially Rock in Rio, can cause around 340,000 of Covid-19, according to the report by the Instituto Superior Técnico (IST).
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Over the three months or beginning of the sixth wave of the pandemic, between 25 and 26 April, Portugal recorded a total of 1,363,000 cases and 2,331 deaths associated with Covid-19.
The balance sheet is made from the IST, a report that Lusa had access to, and which analyzes the sixth balance sheet of Covid-1 Portugal, coinciding with the scheme of restrictive measures and the return of popular parties and music festivals.
In the report, the latest experts anticipated the holding of the events, without masks or testing, resulting in 350,000 direct contacts in the country. Reality was reduced below, but not too far away.
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According to the latest estimates, there have been about 242,000 officially registered Covid-19 cases due to the festivities of popular saints and festivals such as Rock in Rio.
“If we add the cases not officially reported, the number of 340,000 refers to the report, produced by Henrique Oliveira, Pedro Amaral, José Rui Figueira and Ana Serro”, which specifies the working group coordinated by the president of Técnico, Rogério Colaço .
Comparing with a scenario, testing would be maintained and the mandatory use of the mask in large events would be, an incidence estimated for the month of June lower during the experts, which is highlighted as the measures “have no economic impact”.
In addition to these events, the sixth wave report also coincided with the cases of restrictive measures and the document plus 646 thousand factors contagion by SARS-2 is pointed out between two factors of restrictive measures.
Including unreported cases, that number approaches 900,000.
Keeping as non-economic measures, namely the use of a mask and free test, a sixth wave would also have been registered, due to the Ómicron variant, but “its impacts would be cumulatively smaller and faster”.
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Regarding the deaths, experts point to the death of people with 19 due to the survey of Covid- relations and associated festivities, of which 330 to the popular festivals in June.
“The impact is more and less than the effect of general measures, as it directly affects the young population, but leads to contagions in consequences that end up victimizing the slower effects here due to serious illness”, they maintain in reference to popular parties.
In an overall assessment of the wave, the experts believe that it was mainly due to the new BA.5 lineage of the Ómicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 and refer that the current epidemiological situation already shows an increasing trend.
Over the last few years, the record of a series of effects will increase later, after the beginning of May, and the last months of the start of vaccination, and standing at the last 0.17%.
However, the working group notes that, looking at lethality, “a possible test with heat waves” will be noted.
Currently, the predicted index or the correction index at 0, in slow steps, 90 of correction of the delivery steps and recede in steps (Rt), the delay in the descent of the descent”.
Even so, and given the current situation in the country, the Pandemic Assessment Indicator (IAP) of the IST and the Ordem dos Médicos is at 63.8 points, below the alarm level and “with a tendency to reach the lowest values of 2022”.
The IAP combines possibility, transmissibility, alarm and hospitalization in the ward and in intensive care, presenting a level of two, when it reaches 10 critical points, when it reaches 10 points.
Significant reduction in the reinforcement of danger from the month of wearing a mask in a situation of increased risk of increased danger from the month of increased risk of increased danger, warning that “despite overconfidence is the risk that Portugal runs”.