Read between the lines. About what Ukraine, Russia, Turkey and the UN actually agreed upon
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Regarding the agreement on unblocking ports. First of all, I must pay tribute to Ambassador Andriy Sibiza. He did it correctly by publishing the text of the agreement. I thought that we would practice fortune-telling for another day, until we were given the text. It was simply impossible to listen to these “I haven’t read it, but I condemn it.” Communications have become a little more competent, this is very gratifying.
Secondly, there are several important points in the text that need to be noted.
Position one
The parties to this initiative are Ukraine, the Russian Federation, Turkey and the United Nations. This is fixed at the beginning of the substantive part of the document. But, according to Podolyak, two documents were signed. One is Ukraine, Turkey and the UN, the other is Russia, Turkey and the UN.
Danylych scrolled through a similar thing within the framework of the TCG when he signed the Steinmeier formula (it was issued as a separate letter to the OSCE). In order not to put a signature with militants on the same sheet. Nothing has been formally signed here with Russia, it will be possible to grab for it and then play. But it should work well with the text.
Second position
A joint coordination center (JCC) is being created in Turkey. Represented by all parties. It is created in Istanbul. The SCC approves the schedule of ships entering Ukrainian ports and inspects ships for unauthorized cargo. Inspections will be carried out at those points that define Turkey when exiting/entering the Bosphorus. This story reminds us of SCKK, but here it is a slightly different story. But maybe a little. At the end of its creation, the SCKK was for the Russian story about “it’s not us, talk to the militants, we left.”
At the same time, Russia is trying, through its role in the SCC, to postulate that it wants to settle and that it is “a party seeking dialogue” here. No one has to explain that this is nonsense.
There is only one plus – no one is letting them come to us and will not let them. The disadvantages are having access to graphs, which is wrong conceptually (the aggressor, who created the threat of starvation for a whole number of countries, is now an inspector) and gives scope for further verbiage about “we are going to the world, soaps of hard goodwill, and you…”.
Third position
All approaches of equipment to ships must be coordinated with the notorious SCC. It is emphasized separately that with the agreement of all parties(!). In case of emergency situations on the ship, breakdowns of agreements, it is possible for one (one) side of the SCC to request assistance, and depending on the location of the place and in accordance with the norms of maritime law, to provide assistance to the vessel and conduct an inspection for compliance with safety guarantees. That is, in practice, if something goes wrong, it is impossible to approach with any technique without the consent of the SCC. And in SCC – Russia.
Fourth position
It is good that the concept of “Ukrainian territorial waters” is used in the document. And it is written separately that all their activities are devoted to Ukraine. It is once again postulated that all actions regarding the occupation of our ports by Russia are illegal.
Formal agreements with Russia did not happen – that’s the main thing. As a result of this opportunity to sell in Russia, ideas about what can be negotiated with it are greatly narrowed. Next, it is a matter of the ability to work with words and formulations.
Will Russia press on the topic “we are so good, let’s sign the framework decisions”? It will be for sure.
Do I personally like this document? No. Could it be worse? Could definitely. Is there a larger context here? Yes. Shall I describe it? Part. Tomorrow.
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