The National Coalition’s lead at the top of the poll shrank to four points
DIFFERENTIAL The difference between the coalition and the Social Democrats narrowed by one percentage point to four percent in June-July.
Helsingin Sanomat on Saturday reported that the people’s support for the right-wing opposition party has dropped by half a point to 23.9 percent since June. The support of the Social Democrats, on the other hand, has increased by half a point to 19.9 percent, which is a difference of more than five points compared to the third-placed Perussuomalai.
Sakari NurmelaKantar TNS’s research director saw the Coalition losing its support partly because the Basic Finns, who changed their support for it when the NATO discussion began, are strengthening their support for the Basic Finns. The support of basic Finns increased by 0.2 percentage points from the previous month to 14.7 percent, which is clearly below the figure of more than 20 percent before the resignation of the former chairman. Jussi Halla-aho.
The national coalition appears to be relatively unscathed by the surrounding controversy Will Rydman (NCP), second term MP from Helsinki. Helsingin Sanomat in June reported that several young women have accused the 36-year-old lawmaker of harassment.
Central Criminal Police (KRP) announced Last week, it launched a preliminary investigation into an unclear sex crime, which is believed to have happened in 2015. Rydman has denied the accusations and filed a request for an investigation by Helsingin Sanomat.
“The case does not seem to have at least a large direct impact on support for the Coalition,” Nurmela said.
He also drew attention to the fact that the government coalition has enjoyed at least 50 percent public support throughout its term. The support of the five government parties increased by almost one point to 53.6% in the last month, which was mainly due to the 0.9 point increase (9.8%) in the support of the Green Alliance.
The Left Alliance and the Swedish People’s Party rose by 0.2 and 0.1 percentage points to 7.7 and 4.6 percent, respectively. The former seems to be struggling because of the NATO debate.
“Part of the voters of the Left Alliance moved to stand on the side of the Social Democrats during the liveliest phase of the debate. The majority of this group still considers the Social Democrats to be the best option, Nurmela said.
The center’s support has continued downward and fell by 0.6 points to 12.2 percent in July. The popularity of the Agricultural Party has fallen by 1.1 points in the last two months, to its lowest level in more than a year. Nurmela saw that the party has the potential to increase its popularity as the parliamentary elections approach.
“It’s not set in stone that this will happen, but it will take a lot of work from the party,” he said.
Kantar TNS interviewed 2,460 people for the survey between June 13 and July 12. Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on April 2, 2023.
Aleksi Teivainen – HT