The situation in Belarus: developments
Ukraine intends to a new offensive of Russian troops from Belarus and strengthens the position in the north, responsible for the unification of the combined forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Sergei Naev. According to Naev, at this moment of the incident, servicemen of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the National Guard, the Border Guard Service and other armed formations are fully detected. In addition, Ukrainian civilian mines represent the most dangerous areas for renovation and equip engineering positions.
Earlier, President Volodymyr Zelensky held a meeting of the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, at which the risks of Belarus’ military intervention in Ukraine were discussed. It was decided to conduct a combat readiness check in a four-story building.
Meanwhile, in Belarus itself, unusual activity of Russian aircraft is observed. On the evening of July 9, an airborne early warning and control aircraft A-50 of the aerospace forces of the Russian Federation flew to the Machulishchi airfield. It was this case that arose earlier at the Belarusian airfield in Baranovichi and was actively working from the very beginning of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation into Ukraine. These planes give fighter pilots points to hit. IL-76.
Military expert, former employee of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine and participant in peacekeeping operations in Kosovo and Iraq Sergey Grabsky in the comments to the ICTV channel, he shared his opinion about the threats from Belarus.
“The process of preparing for the alleged invasion has begun,” Grabsky said. “Whether it will be mandatory, whether it will be a land invasion, it is very difficult to say. But I want to draw attention to the increase in the so-called aviation group.
Grabsky believes that launching missiles in the western regions of Ukraine is rather problematic. Therefore, Russian troops can change tactics:
“I think that this time the enemy may want to try air raids. The prevailing impacts are railway junctions – such as Kovel, Sarny, Korosten. That is, there are no nodes that are detected by the detection, increase in the logistics of weapons and military equipment entering the Armed Forces of Ukraine.”
According to Gyurabsky, Lukashenka has already lost control over the Belarusian army – this is evidenced by the nature of military scientists, under the supervision of patients with diseases, as well as the fact where the highest ranks of the army and special services were educated.
The main domestic political topic is the prospect of changing the law “On the Procedure for the Exit and Entry of Belarusian Citizens”. The KGB may be reduced to identify whose “departure interests of the national security of the Republic of Belarus”. It can be applied for up to six months.
Departure is also prohibited for citizens, “in relation to the consideration of a case on the commission of offenses, in relation to the consideration of a case on the recovery of a fine.” Previously, debtors were not released from Belarus either, but this concerned those who had already received a fine and did not pay it.
The number of detained offenses includes “political” articles that are well known to Belarusians: disobedience to a lawful order or an established person when appointing an official appointment, violation of the procedure for organizing or holding mass events, and so on.
“In general, such a practice of restricting the freedom of movement of Belarusians has already existed. Now it’s just some list that is in force, which will be approved by the KGB, including the volume,” says the lawyer of the office of Svetlana Tikhanovskaya Christina Richter. – The initiative to include people in this list is not entirely obvious, they are not publicly available. And personally, it seems to me that they will be delayed just in some approximation. That is, if you are somehow objectionable or, conversely, your entry will be considered dangerous, then in what I think, this entire list is now absolutely any person.
For employees of law enforcement agencies and the armed forces of Belarus, exit from the country will be allowed only upon agreement with their personnel. There are also options to refuse travel “for reasons of national security”.