How many points does La Spezia need to save itself? The match against Venice will be decisive
How much is Spezia-Venice worth in the economy of the salvation race? The answer is a lot, indeed a lot. Winning 3 points in the Peak match on Saturday 2 April would allow Thiago Motta’s team to rise to 32 points in the standings, putting a series of mortgages on the seasonal goal.
But how many points will it take to make sure you reach the finish line at the end of the season?
To reach a concrete conclusion it is right to analyze two factors: the calendar of direct competitors and the average points of the last Serie A championships.
In the last 8 days of the championship, Sampdoria (29 points) will face Salernitana and Genoa as direct clashes, Cagliari (25 points) will have three clashes with Genoa, Salernitana and Venice, the lagoons (22 points) will face off against Spezia and Cagliari and take up the challenge against Salernitana, Genoa (22 points) will play against Cagliari and Samp, Salernitana (16 points) in attempting the enterprise will still have to face Venice, Samp and Cagliari.
Last year Spezia ended the ride even at 39, although 34 points were enough to reach salvation with Benevento who dropped to 33 in B.The year before Lecce third last closed the season at 35, in the 2018-2019 championship Empoli did not need 38 points to center the stay in A in the head-to-head with Genoa, as did Carpi in the 2015-2016 vintage, while in 2017-2018 Crotone relegated with 35 and in 2016-2017 Empoli went down to B at an altitude of 32 .
If it is true that every championship has its own history, by analyzing in detail the last 8, Spezia would be safe from matchdays with 3536 points.
This is also and above all for this reason the match against Venezia assumes a significant importance and would allow Thiago Motta’s team to experience the final rush that will see the eagles face numerous big names with more tranquility.
Venice, Empoli, Inter, Turin, Lazio, Atalanta, Udinese and Naples: a sprint to earn another year of paradise.
Gianluca Tinfena