Covid-19 cases should rise in Portugal and impact on mortality is uncertain | red lines
The covid-19 pandemic changed a version of the growing trend of recent weeks, with an increase in the incidence of incidents, which is still uncertain in terms of health services and mortality.
“The analysis of the different indicators reveals a very high intensity SARS-CoV-2 epidemic activity, with an increasing trend observed in recent weeks, and an increase in incidence can be expected, similar to what was observed in some countries. European countries”, says the red lines report.
According to this risk assessment by the Directorate-General for Health (DGS) and the Instituto Nacional de Saúde Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), the dimension of the impact of the growth of disability on health services and on mortality “is still uncertain”, since which is dependent on “personally competent in the most professional groups”.
According to the ability to adapt and the increase in the number of patients with covid-19, surveillance of the epidemiological health situation and maintenance of individual protection measures and the individual protection system must be maintained.
According to the DGS, on Wednesday, 70 patients were hospitalized in intensive care units (ICUs), which corresponds to 27% of the defined defined as critical of 25 occupied beds, below the 35% recorded in the previous week.
Hospitals in the North region continue to be the ones with the highest occupancy in intensive care, with 36% of the level of 75 beds, and the age group with the largest number of people hospitalized in this unit was from 60 to 79 years old.
Mortality still high
As for the specific mortality due to covid-19, it stands at 33.3 deaths in 14 days per million inhabitants, which corresponds to an increase of 20% compared to the last report (41.7), which reveals a growing trend in the impact of the pandemic on this indicator, referred to as “red lines”.
Despite this reduction, the value of 33.3 is still higher than the threshold of 20 deaths in 14 days per million inhabitants by the European Center for Disease Control (ECDC), “which translates into a high impact of the epidemic on mortality” , advance the document.
As of Wednesday, the 14-day cumulative incidence was at 1449 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, indicating a much higher intensity, with trend, while the transmissibility index (R) was 0.99 a national and 0.98 to the mainland.
“An R value equal to or greater than 1 of the five regions of the continent was observed, which indicates a version of the increasing trend in the incidence of infection”, advances the analysis of the risk of the pandemic.
The report also mentions that the proportion of positive cases in tests carried out for SARS-CoV2 registered between March 3 and 9 was 20.1%, higher than the 13.5% of the last one and above the 4% threshold.
The frequency of the BA.1 lineage of the Ómicron variant is now 20.6% and with a decreasing trend, while the BA.2 lineage, considered more transmissible, is already “clearly dominant”, accounting for 79.4% of infections.
Average of 23 deaths and 11 thousand cases per day
Portugal registered 79,278 cases of infection between 1 and 7 of infection, 160 deaths associated with covid-19 and a reduction in hospitalizations, indicated this Friday the Directorate-General for Health (DGS).
According to the epidemiological bulletin, which from now on leaves the daily and goes to weekly, the number of confirmed cases was 11,963 compared to the previous week, with a reduction of 36 deaths in the comparison between the two periods.
As for hospital occupation, the bulletin indicates that, last Monday, 1225 people were hospitalized, 133 than on the same day of the previous week, and 78 patients were in health care units, 18.
by regions, Lisbon and Tagus Valley recorded a total of 30,744 cases between March 1 and 7, 7,866 more than in the previous period, and 53 deaths (8 less). O North totaled 12,928 cases of infection, 1001 less than in the previous week and 38 deaths (21 less), while in the center 16,808 infections were reported (plus 2166) and 45 deaths (plus three).
No Alentejo 5614 positive cases were recorded (1448 more) and seven deaths (6 less) and in the Algarve there were 5349 infections (plus 952) deaths (minus seven). As for the autonomous regions, the Azores had 3379 new infections between March 1 and 7 (632 less) and seven deaths (two more), while the wood there were 4456 cases in seven deaths (plus 1,164) and five (plus one).
The age group with the most cases is from 10 to 19 years old
According to the DGS, the age group of young people between 10 and 19 years old presented the highest number of cases within seven days (18,639), followed by people between 20 and 29 years old (12,990), while the elderly over 80 years old were the group with the least assistance (3251).
Of the total admissions, 552 were elderly people over 80 years old, followed by the age group from 70 to 79 years old (270) and from 60 to 69 years old (153).
The DGS bulletin also mentions that, in the first week of March, 105 elderly people over 80 years old died, 36 people between 70 and 79 years old, 12 between 60 and 69 years old, six between 50 and 59 years old and one between 40 and 49 years old.
Relatively advance to 99 years, against 100 ages of people over 80 years, between 6 years and 50 and 6 6 complete against covid-19.
As for the dose of SARS-CoV-2 immunization in the elderly, 94% of those over 80 years old have already received it, as well as 96% of people between 65 and 79 years old, 82% between 50 and 64 years old, 56% between 25 and 49 years old and 40% between 18 and 24 years old.