″Portugal has already reached a comfortable situation″
Portugal has already reached a comfortable situation in relation to covid-, two cases have been registered 9 after the first two cases have been registered. Who says it is the professor of the Faculty of Sciences of the University of Lisbon, Carlos Antunes, when analyzing the ones published yesterday by the Daily Bulletin of the Directorate-General for Health (DGS). “We can say that the country enjoyed a relatively comfortable situation, taking into account that we are also one of the countries with the least regard”, he told DN.
According to official data, Portugal yesterday registered 8833 new cases of covid-19 and 25 deaths. Carlos Antunes highlights that the number of infections may have a deficit of two thousand to three thousand cases, given that they report a holiday day, during which fewer tests may have been carried out. However, even if the numbers are updated today or tomorrow, the analyst considers that “The stabilization that has already become familiar is below what was predicted two weeks ago”.
It should be remembered that the analysis that the professor made to the DN two weeks ago pointed to a stabilization in late February or early March between 10,000 and 14,000 cases. The data recorded for eight days now indicate that “stabilization should be achieved between 1,000 and 10 cases, and it may still reveal more, at 7,000 cases”, but everything will depend on the rise in R
underlined Carlos Antunes, at this moment, there is a factor that could be very positive for the stabilization of the disease. “We are going into spring, people are going to do more life outdoors than indoors, and this situation is not so conducive to the development of the virus.”
According to the professor, there is a downward trend in the various regions, being more accelerated in a sequence, namely in the North, because it was there that it grew faster, and slower in others, such as Lisbon and Vale do Tejo, Centro, Alentejo and Algarve. The same trend in the deceleration of probability reduction was not indicative of age, since age reduction can also occur in terms of the number of years observed in the 5 to 11 years later.
For Carlos Antunes, since the beginning of the integration with the team from the Faculty of Sciences that has been modeling the evolution of the disease, there is only one concern that should be monitored and monitored for a longer time, which is the evolution of the disease and deaths in the age groups. above 65 years. According to the professor, “there is still a risk of death that has to be taken care of in these age groups”.
That is, “at the moment, Portugal has a daily and daily average of 27 deaths, which corresponds to 43 deaths per million inhabitants to 1, this is still a higher average”. It is still above the average referenced by the European Center for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC), which indicates that the risk for deaths should be a daily average below 20. In this sense, “we still can’t rest”.
Compared to yesterday, there is an increase in the number of admissions, 42 more than the previous day, with a total of 1400 being intensive now. Of these, there are 90 in, six less than in the previous 24 hours. The national disclosure by the bulletin of DGS 16381 at the level and of 1557.3 on the mainland, although the trend is to lower even more.
In an interview yesterday with Agência Lusa, the director-general of Health, Graça Freitas, confirmed that this situation would lead to “a slowdown in duty in the spring”. However, she warns that it may be necessary, in the coming winters, to “take a few steps back”. “It may happen that in the coming autumns and winters adaptations will be necessary. Some will be more restrictive, in others less years”, More such “will not be able to adopt the behaviors by the Portuguese”, since “the human being can certainly have a great adaptation and this one more factor that appears in our lives and we learn to deal with it almost instinctively”, Graça Freitas .