Russia quickly attacks in the Donetsk region. Maybe she’s preparing a new direction to hit
- Ilya Abishev
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Russian troops are increasing their speed in the Donetsk region in the direction of supplies – to Bakhmut, north of the regional center and to Vuhledar to the southwest. In the Bakhmut area, they managed to sell the left flank of the Ukrainian defense a little more. In the Ugledar region, the successes look more modest, but the attack on this sector of the front is becoming more and more intense.
About the situation in the war zone in Ukraine – in the BBC review.
The situation in the Ugledar region
Russian units transferred reconnaissance attacks in the Ugledar region into a coordinated offensive, writes British military intelligence. Units of the 155th Marine Brigade of the Pacific Fleet managed to push the front line several hundred meters beyond the Kashlagach River.
Representatives of the self-proclaimed DPR claimedthat Russian troops entered the city and entrenched themselves on its outskirts.
Battles for Ugledar of observation in November 2022 – then Russia also threw into battle the 155th and 40th marine brigades, reinforced by other units. Some time later, they managed to capture the village of Pavlovka south of Ugledar, the capture of the village under the control of the Russian Ministry of Defense was reported as the minimum number of Americans on November 11 and 20, and on December 3, it was shelled by Russian artillery forces.
Detected losses were reported, suffered in the public sector, first during the assault, and then when choosing to hold Pavlovka. At that time, it was not possible to take Ugledar – like the foci of the military corporal with inflammation to the side, this settlement is on the rise, and under its influence an aggravation occurs.
After almost two months, Russia took Ugledar resumed, but so far everything is going through the same stage as in the case of Pavlovka.
A contract marine from the 155th brigade of the Pacific Fleet told Mediazona (declared a “foreign agent” in Russia) about the battles near Ugledar – according to him, Russian troops cover suburban dachas and find heavy losses.
“We are only trying to enter, have and leave there, and this has been the case for three days. The Marine suggests that at least 200-230 people died during this time.
“People don’t want to fight, but everyone has already said everywhere they said that the fighting is going on in Ugledar, so we will take any price, we were told so,” he adds. “Honestly speaking, the mobilized people are not very much valued here, because they can still be recruited, but there are no combat contract soldiers.
British intelligence suggests that the Russian command is sending new directions to the Ukrainian-controlled Donetsk region in order to hand over a special Ukrainian army from Bakhmut, which is now being followed by fierce battles.
The situation around Bakhmut
On Tuesday, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that the village of Blagodatnoye, north of Bakhmut, had come under the control of Russian troops, and Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner PMC, spoke about taking it back on January 28.
The report of the Russian Ministry of Defense states that the village was taken by “volunteers of assault detachments with fire support from operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troops and artillery of the troops of the Southern Group.”
The Ukrainian command has not yet commented on the message of the Russian Defense Ministry about the capture of Blagodatny.
The Russian command includes large units of regular military personnel to assist the PMC “Wagner” in Bakhmut in order to maintain the pace of the offensive, writes in America “Institute for the Study of War”. In particular, we are talking about paratroopers.
Plans for an all-Russian distribution organization – it includes creating an encirclement of Bakhmut with flank attacks from the north and south and forcing the Ukrainian units to leave the city. So far, the Ukrainian garrison can be supplied and, if necessary, has escape routes to the west, at least according to the taste of the routes – to Krasnoe and Chasov Yar.
However, “Ukrainian commanders may choose to initiate rather than risk unacceptable losses” and will also withdraw troops if encirclement of the city becomes unavoidable, the report says.
But it must be taken into account that as the expansion in the girth of Bakhmut in the Russian army, the flanges are stretched more and more. In conditions of sluggish income, they become dependent and require more and more resources, which require additional efforts.
Russia is likely to succeed in the Bakhmut investigation, but Russian troops will not have enough to carry out an important breakthrough, British intelligence believes.
Russian infected learn from their mistakes
“It is very difficult for us right now. 1″ Dmitry Podvorchansky.
He and other Ukrainian residents say adversaries have gotten much better at camouflaging and dispersing their public relations, depots, and attacking Ukrainian routes more effectively.
In the summer of 2022, when the American high-precision HIMARS missiles appeared in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Russian arsenals in the front line began to take off one after another. The Russian artillerymen on the forward mission acknowledged the famine, and this was one of the reasons why the offensive of the Russian army in the Donbass bogged down.
The Russian command made a withdrawal: they moved large warehouses in the depths of the rear, although this complicated the sale of food products to the front line, and stopped “putting eggs in one basket.” It is unprofitable to attack small warehouses with a small Hymars.
Now Russian artillery in Ukraine has become active again, the number of artillery strikes is steadily growing, disclosure words of the Ukrainian military heads of the Polish analytical center Rochan Consulting Konrad Muzyka. According to him, on January 24, 111 Ukrainian settlements were attacked, which was the highest number since September 7.
Both Russian and Ukrainian sides fear that the current battles near Bakhmut and Vuhledar are of secondary importance, and that the real offensive is about to begin elsewhere.
Despite the fact that the alignment of forces is approximately preliminary, it is difficult to make an objective forecast for the immediate plans of the Russian and Ukrainian General Staffs.
So far, the authorities and propaganda of the capture of the belligerents are drawing an information picture that is authorized to increase morale and mobilize society to continue the war.
The Ukrainian media do not focus on the loss of another settlement, they post videos of fields dotted with corps of Russian soldiers and columns of Western armored vehicles moving to help the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Only 9% of stocks of long-range Kalibr missiles remain in Russia, Ukraine may well get to Crimea by summer, Washington Post head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Kirill Budanov.
The Russian media are raising the huge losses of their military in the capture of another Ukrainian village, but many talk about the power of Russian weapons and build a perspective in the spirit of “we can pass.”
RT chief editor Margarita Simonyan announced the other day, Vladimir Solovyov’s TV show aired that the German population is facing the risks of tanks in Ukraine, and threw in a sentence: “This means that the German people are again in the grip of the fascists! Don’t we need the German people from these fascists?”
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