The high tension between Turkey and Greece is on its way to a different state with mutual promises in the last period… The Greek side said, “The air is in good condition,” to Ankara’s message ‘If they do not behave, one night suddenly.’ We’ll beat it.’ gives the answer.

While Ankara develops the domestic/national defense industry with its own means and crosses critical thresholds, Athens is a path observer that has been increasing its armament in recent years and adding it to its inventory of highly advanced systems. Greece spent 530 million euros on armaments in 2020. In 2021, this figure suddenly brought 2.52 billion euros. The money spent last year was 3.37 billion euros.

Defense Industry Analyst Arda Mevltolu told TRT Haber about the recent events between Turkey and Greece, how NATO and the USA’s photo looks, and Ankara’s possible roadmap.

[Trkiye ve Yunanistan 1952 ylnda NATO’ya katld.]

THERE IS BALANCE SINCE THE NATO SAIL

Foreign Minister Mevlüt’s lawyer, in the statement he made in the days when we arrived, “The USA had a policy of balance. The balance in the relations between Turkey and Greece began to deteriorate.” I used the expression.

We ask Arda Mevltolu about this issue… We get the answer that after they became members of NATO in 1952, the armed forces of both countries were almost completely equipped with US military aid.

“The United States followed certain criteria in terms of salad, weapons and financial aid to Turkey and Greece, taking into account the regional rivalry between these two countries.” Mevlut says. It deletes that the same or equivalent weapons are provided within certain numerical limits in both areas.

He gives an example of this situation with regard to the air force and says, “Both countries owned F-104 Starfighter, F-102 Delta Dagger, F-4E Phantom II, F-16 Fighting Falcon in roughly the same time periods.” shares his knowledge.

[Trkiye ile Yunanistan arasndaki nemli meselelerden biri de iki lkenin sava ua envanteri.]

7 TO 10 RATIO DROPPED

It is no secret that the United States observed a balance known as the “7/10 ratio” when discussing arms aid to Turkey and Greece. This ratio came into the agenda with the determination and comparison of the amount of military aid given to the two countries since 1947 by the then Greek Prime Minister Konstantion Karamanlis.

Arda Mevltolu recalls that this rate of Karamanlis from the 1974 Cyprus Bar Operation reminds one of the civil servants as a bargaining factor. The dense bedroom is reminiscent of the fact that it was embodied together with the “Principles for the Future United States-Greek Defense Union” document published on April 15, 1976 as a result of printing.

“Turkey reacted to this situation, but maintained its 7/10 ratios.” Mevlutoglu says:

“As a result of Turkey’s re-establishment of the defense industry in the early 1980s and especially after the 1990s, the military aid it received from the USA decreased rapidly. The balance ratio in question was no longer applicable in practice.

However, Turkish-American relations have deteriorated rapidly in recent years due to problems such as the PYD/PKK, the Eastern Mediterranean, the S-400 and F-35, and the FET ringleader. In this process of deterioration, Greece quickly developed its relations with regional actors such as Israel, Egypt, Italy, the United Arab Emirates and large forces outside the region such as the USA-France, by making good use of the windows of opportunity created by regional security problems.

Under the Trump administration, Washington-Athens military cooperation has strengthened. Greece has become the main partner of the USA in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Black Sea. Reflections of this state air force on Greece’s F-16s, modernization of F-16V Aircraft, OH-58D armed helicopters, positive signals for the F-35 exit, increased joint exercises and trainings can be counted.

[F-35 sadece Trkiye-ABD ilikileri iin deil Ankara’nn NATO’daki pozisyonu asndan da olduka kritik.]

DOES THE F-35 PROVISIONS OF THE USA MAKE A NEW REQUIREMENT?

One of the most important issues in Turkey’s tension with Greece and indeed the background USA is the F-35 issue. Arda Mevlut he calls this crisis ‘spear ba’.

The brand-new F-35 is a platform that offers advanced capabilities and technological sequencing to share with the United States’ closest allies. Although we read the process on a platform basis, Mevltolu points to a very different and extremely critical rise:

“This aircraft is the crossing of the post-modern Atlantic Wall, which formed along a line in the northern part of Europe, mainly from Norway and Finland, to Poland, Germany, the annex and in the south to the nearby option Greece and the British Air Force’s Arotur S in Cyprus. in spending position.

At this point, it is also beneficial for Romania to prepare for the purchase of the F-35 in the medium term. Therefore, the supply of the F-35 for Greece is an extremely important project not only to seize air superiority against Turkey in the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean, but also in terms of its geopolitical positioning.”

‘OLDUBTT’ MMKN M?

Before we move on to the ‘air’ nature between Athens and Ankara, we ask Mevltolu to warn the Minister of National Defense Hulusi Akar, ‘We should never allow a fait accompli on Greece’.

Some universes argue that Greece cannot afford to wage a protracted war directly with Turkey, but will be the first to eat a suitable soldier and then maintain its current position with the intervention of the USA, EU and NATO.

Arda Mevlütoğlu gives a short and clear answer:

“Under this environment, and in the next 5-7 years, relying on Greece’s strong military and political relations with the West and its modernized naval and air power, it will be a short-term attack, but will attempt to inflict maximum damage and make Turkey an international attack, offensive or watery,” he said. I see a high risk of creating the scenario.”

[Savunma harcamalarn artrdnda bte dengesini tutturamayan Yunanistan daha nce de iflasn eiine gelmiti.]

HOW WILL YÜNANSTAN ECONOMIC AYDAN OVERCOME THE CURRENT SITUATION?

In the Turkish view, the defense industry of Greece becomes a subject of great concern. The situation is no different now. This system basically claims that if the Athenian administration spends such high amounts of money and is armed, it will again turn into a very serious economic crisis.

With the support of the European Union in 2011, which is well known to their home, Mevlolu addresses the issue of ‘Greece coming back from the brink of bankruptcy’. After the 1996 Kardak Crisis, the EU’s financial power also reminds us that Greece carried out a very intense and impressive armament program using the land.

Until the beginning of the 2000s, a large number of weapons and equipment were supplied from the USA, Germany and France in this trend. “However, the purchases of these systems have put a huge burden on the budget and the already chronic maintenance problems have increased even more. We see a similar situation in the armament devices monitored in recent years.” Mevlut says.

With the help of the political conjuncture, he warns that although the ‘initial purchase’ financing cost is low, the maintenance and logistics costs of the procured systems will put a great burden on the long-term costs of Greece. He adds that Athens has entered a new rural circle and its dependency has increased even more.

[Savunma Bakan Akar’n ngiltere ziyareti srasnda mevkidayla yapt ziyaretler kamuoyunda geni yank bulmutu.]

IS IT POSSIBLE FOR DMENN TO BREAK IN NGLTERE INSTEAD OF USA?

After looking at the Greek side of the coin, we turn the other side and talk about the Turkish side with Arda Mevltolu. No, we do not do this with a warm reading on the plane between two countries.

Basically, the issue we are wondering about is the UK issue that we have heard recently. We testify that sometimes the jet engine, sometimes the war, and finally the frigate issue, the Ankara-London line is very hot.

It’s not what Greece does instead of Turkey as the USA’s partner. Based on these developments, Arda Mevloluna asked, “Can Turkey break the helm for strategic partnership with England?” we ask:

“The F-16, whose contract was signed in 1983 and started protectively in 1987, is an aircraft that represents the main structures of Turkish-American military and strategic cooperation. Exactly 40 years later, the F-16 is again the center of Turkish-American relations. identification’ or ‘recalibration’ The outcome of the F-16V purchase will probably determine how this redefinition will be.

[ABD’nin F-16 kararna gre Trkiye’nin ngiltere’den Typhoon sava jeti alma ihtimali de bulunuyor.]

The purchase of the Typhoon fighter jet from England as part of the urgent need, depending on how this purchase will be, the military and thus the political relations between the two countries.

For example, if this purchase is limited to second-hand aircraft only, the effect will be narrower. However, it does not change if the long-term defense industry cooperation requirement such as new production Typhoons, contract development, domestic assembly or the termination of national munitions and systems is taken with a program. This situation can be recorded as a further delay in Turkish-British relations. Undoubtedly the cost, duration and geopolitical implications of such a change would be appreciable.”