New phase of war in Ukraine to surpass 1980s military emissions – The Guardian
The third phase of the war in Ukraine begins, which turns into an all-out struggle using combined arms units – mechanized infantry, artillery, aviation and, possibly, amphibious assault – for exceptional advantage and a breakthrough at the front, writes The Guardian columnist Julian Borger. I don’t think anything in the world can’t be treated since the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s, and in Europe since the Second World Ocean.
In terms of importance, the Russian army announced the transition to the offensive in the Zaporozhye region. Here, the front line has remained static for 10 months against the backdrop of stubborn resistance from Ukrainian troops. Now they admit that the situation is heating up, the article says. The number of projectiles and missiles launched this month has more than doubled to 4,000 a day. Just a couple of weeks ago, Russian troops only crossed a few tanks a few times to probe Ukrainian positions, but were sent under fire.
A new large-scale struggle – in this or that sector – is expected in the spring and may prove to be a difficult phase of the war from the very beginning. So far, both sides are holding strong positions. Reconnaissance by drone and satellite cells also falls on the fact that Russia is moving mechanized units from the Crimea on the eastern front to Lugansk and Donetsk.
The first phase of the war covered the Russian Armed Forces, which were gradually driven back from the north: from the Kharkov region in September, and from the right bank of the Dnieper, from Kherson and part of the region, in November.
The second phase is an attempt at a “war on the territory”, when Russian settlements arrived and “radial casualties were found in remote areas of the territories around the cities of Bakhmut and Soledar”, the world Ukrainian population is “trying to subjugate” with rocket attacks on energy systems. This phase turned into a complete defeat for Russia, like the first, the article says.
Major occurrence due to the occurrence of the infectious agent with the risk of infection with the pathogen. The attack on fortified positions has always been a greater loss among the inhabitants of the world and technology than defense.
The Guardian cites three directions in which “tipping battles” are expected:
- Eastern front. The Luhansk and Donetsk directions are the most likely, where the parties can count on an increase in growth. For the Kremlin, as analysts admit, this occurs purely by gathering. Protecting the rights of Russian-speakers to production served as a pretext for Russian invasions, but none of the European countries was completely directed by Russia, “to a certain shame”, while Russian casualties during the battles near Bakhmut and Soledar, so that some successes could be claimed . For Kyiv, the offensive makes sense from a historical point of view. Luhansk may be the largest Russian defense site currently, especially in terms of the expansion of Ukrainian troops as part of Kremennaya, said Dara Massikot, a senior fellow at the RAND Corporation.
- Southern Front. The outcome of the war, whether or not there is a first offensive against production, will be decided by developments in the south, where Ukrainian troops must go if they intend to completely relocate the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, as well as retake Crimea. Two options for a counteroffensive are possible: a large tank assault from Gulyaipol to the south, towards Melitopol, and (a more risky option) an amphibious landing across the Dnieper in the Kherson region. Russia can prepare for an offensive in the region of Velyka Novoselka (on the border of the Zaporozhye and Donetsk economies) and, if successful, trap the Armed Forces of Ukraine and count it in Ukrainian intelligence.
- northern front. Most analysts consider a major spread from the north unlikely. Although some of the mobilized Russians are being trained in Belarus, there is no data on the situation of the “shock group” there. According to experts, this is a visible maneuver to pull Ukrainian troops from the east and south.
Bloomberg sources causesthat Vladimir Putin is expected to lead a counter-offensive in the face of heightened danger in the coming years. At the same time, some participants believe that it would be an achievement to hold the current front line. New wave of mobilization (which is repeated in Russia)
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