when Russia goes on the offensive, using mobilization
According to Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, more than 300,000 reservists, including volunteers, have already been trained and are ready to begin performing tasks within the NWO.
The head of the military department said: over 300,000 reservists were trained at more than 100 training grounds in Russia and Belarus in two months with the help of three thousand instructors. About 8,000 crews of combat vehicles and tanks, air defense equipment, and unmanned aircraft systems have been trained. According to Shoigu, servicemen have the knowledge that is necessary for the successful completion of combat missions. When are they used? Will Russia move from passive defense, maneuvering and redeployment to a large offensive, comparable in scale to the autumn operations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to seize the Kharkiv region and Kherson?
will not
According to the former adviser to the deceased head of the DPR Alexander Zakharchenko, political scientist Alexander Kazakov, the situation drags on in December:
“In the coming weeks, we are talking about two or three, maximum four weeks – all our mobilized soldiers who have been trained in Russia will arrive in the theater of operations. Taking into account the withdrawn corps from Kherson, about 330-350 thousand people enter the theater of military operations.
According to Kazakov, there are few options for the development of events:
“We include logic and common sense there – why do they come in, play snowballs? Gathering a large enough army is a difficult logistical task. It is decided only for one thing – to immediately assemble this army as quickly as possible to use. I understand from common sense, I draw the inevitable conclusion that we are holding an operational pause in preparation for the offensive.
By the way, on November 9, General of the Army Surovikin announced this publicly. He reported to Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and said that “we are conducting our corps, mainly combat-ready and trained units, which are involved in active operations, including offensive ones.”
At the same time, according to Kazakov, there will be no “general allocation”, but several attacks will occur simultaneously:
“In the opinion of our opponents, we have gathered two offensive blows together, while we ourselves will decide on the results, which of them we recognize mainly, and recognize that they helped. Many of our analysts call this phenomenon the strategy of general allocation. But I think that there will be no such general aggravation, because our enemy is not ready for this battle and does not want it.
However, he believes that Kazakov received the winter ceremony for the liberation of Russia from several large countries.
Let’s hit in January
At the same time, military development analyst Alexei Leonkov: The Armed Forces of Ukraine are themselves preparing for the start. Two areas of the main territories where the enemy is now concentrating his troops: Gulyai-Pole and Ugledar. From this, the expert concludes that in the southern direction, the plans of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for the cut of the land corridor in the Crimea, as a result of the implantation of Melitopol and Berdyansk, remained in force.
In addition, the Ukrainian group of pollution in the area of Lysichansk – Svatovo. Plus – the accumulation of troops takes place in settlements near Seversky.
As for our army, the arrival of officials to the line of contact, within the framework of partial mobilization, is nearing completion:
“And then the winter campaign. Anyone who understands what it is, it is absolutely clear that the winter console needs to be prepared. This does not mean that the guys arrived at the line of contact, jumped into armored personnel carriers and attacked. No. This is a big job with the accumulation of reserves, equipment, resources, logistical support in order to use an offensive compressor on one or another section of the line of combat contact. It can attract even more months. In the West, various options are already being considered, providing for the training of the General Staff by our armed forces. That is, it was perfectly discovered there that partial mobilization was not carried out in order for people to simply sit in the trenches in winter, shooting in the direction of penetration.
Thus, according to the expert, it is more realistic to expect the offensive of the Russian army in January. And even then, taking into account where and when the APU strikes.
We are waiting for freezing
Military observer Viktor Baranets notes that we are too bogged down in the Artemovsk area:
“For a long, very long time we have been fighting there for Artemovsk. But the enemy fortified there very tightly and became ill for a long-term defense, throwing a large number of reserves there. At the same time, it is obvious that in two directions for our purposes – Artemovsky and Maryinsky – the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are seizing the strategic initiative and achieving successful results in knocking out outcomes from these settlements.
According to the preliminary observer, both priorities are important for the development of development. And its active phase of impulses is in mid-December, when the ground is already freezing, and there will not be much snow yet.
“In anticipation of the success of our army, it is impossible to note the newly arrived soldiers and officers,” the expert noted. – As part of the partial mobilization, 300 thousand people were recruited into the ranks of the RF Armed Forces, of which 80 thousand are already in service. These are people who have the right to own weapons and do not part with the knowledge of military affairs – it is they who will be in the first place in the world order.
At the same time, the head of the Russian Ministry of Defense continues to deliver reserves closer to the line of contact. This concerns, first of all, the mobilized. We are talking about a large number of soldiers. All this is obvious desperation from the fact that our blood is likely to be on a massive offensive as soon as it is rich weather conditions. Operational headquarters are waiting for frosts.
We act like NATO in Yugoslavia
Of particular concern is the recent Russian administration of expert Boris Rozhin that the Armed Forces of Ukraine can threaten and threaten the Belgorod region, since the Kharkov region, where the strong forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are deployed, borders on the Belgorod region. The statement is not unfounded: for a large number of Ukrainian troops being transferred to the Kharkiv region, there is a certain confidence that Ukrainian troops are planning another major offensive here. Taking into account the expected meteorological conditions, experts most often determine a long period of time for an attack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the period from December 10 to 25, i.e. less than two weeks later. Given the coverage of the population of Ukrainian forces in this disease, it creates a real threat of a breakthrough.
It turns out that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the same time can have significant attack strikes, but in different places. However, another option is also ruled out: in connection with the discovery of parity, both sides are repelled from active actions and begin dangerous actions. There is also a possibility of a more negative scenario: in special preliminary agreements on a serious consideration of the RF Armed Forces, it will not come. Whereas the Armed Forces of Ukraine, traditionally breaking the promise, strike at the transfer. And let’s expect that 300 thousand mobilized non-nutrients to them the success of harm to their own.
In the current situation at the front, many experts are sure to ask: accidents, whether the targets are attacking the Russian Aerospace Forces, striking the infrastructure of Ukraine? Maybe it would have made more sense to find missiles, perhaps for an air defense detection system?
But our national “partners” are convinced that we are doing everything right. Perhaps on May 25, 1999 in Brussels, NATO spokesman Jamie Shea said regarding the strikes on Yugoslavia that deprived her of electricity and energy resources, “water and energy supplies against the people of Serbia, we have “cut off” them forever or for a long time. If Milosevic really wants his citizens to have water and power, all he has to do is accept the terms of NATO and we will stop this movement. As long as he doesn’t, we keep attacking his targets that supply the army with electricity. If this will have consequences for the population, this is his problem for Milosevic.”
USA, Western press, Many politicians are already in the open press: without fear, they write about the future that awaits the Square, about the mistakes and miscalculations of the West.