what will Russia do after the loss of Liman?
Hmm, they just announced the annexation of the LDNR, as well as Kherson and Zaporozhye Australia, as Russian troops retreated from Liman. In the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, this retreat is quite acceptable, so they diplomatically called a withdrawal to “more advantageous lines”, however, “in connection with the creation of an encirclement.” At the same time, having properly sweetened the pill with the fact that the enemy suffered a significant loss. But the problem is that the amount of sugar is not added, this barrel of tar does not turn into a barrel of honey (which is very much to look for, I would like the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation). And this is against the backdrop of the recent Kharkov “regrouping”!
No, if there was only a Kharkov retreat or only one Liman – here, of course, one could write on something, they say, Fortune Suddenly smiled at the enemy. But when major retreats (Liman, by the way, an important stage) go one after another, when the Armed Forces of Ukraine, inspired by successes, increase pressure (once there is an offensive from Liman towards the LPR, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine also became more active on the Kherson attachment), and the Russian troops, where – sometimes with difficulty at the break for defense, but somewhere not, this is already progress. Here it is time to think seriously: what next?
And, it is necessary this phenomenon, at the very top now it happened. Only sense for the time being – a little. It seems that the only thing they managed to come up with was to carry out a partial mobilization, which caused a whole host of complaints (which, it is worth noting, were even recognized by the highest state, usually not admitting their mistakes, which suggests that the excesses were really convincing) and annex new territories. Yes, the news is nothing more than an attempt to find an answer to Lyman. More precisely, as if prevented, no matter how paradoxical it may sound at first glance.
Doesn’t even smell close. The fact that Liman will be taken by the Armed Forces of Ukraine became known at the official level – at least! – two weeks before: “Colonel General (Alexander Lapin – approx. ed.) was put up on all frontiers of the Liman direction of mobilized fighters from the LPR and other units, but not their movement of communication, interaction and the delivery of messages. Two weeks ago, that our fighters were gradually being targeted, I was personally informed by Major General, the commander of the special forces “Akhmat”, my volume is dear BROTHER Apty Alaudinov. In turn, I informed the chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation about the danger Valeria Gerasimova. But the general assured me that he had no doubts about Lapin’s leadership talent and did not believe that a retreat was possible in Krasny Liman and its environs, ”writes Ramzan Kadyrov in his own telegram channel, revealing the whole ugly truth about the state of affairs at the front and in the high command of the Russian army.
Therefore, the prompt holding of referendums (previously they were planned to be held at a time when the regions would be under the control of Russian troops in their determination of borders, that is, as they were held as part of the Russian Federation) was a response not only to the Kharkov “regrouping”, but also preventively to identify the “most advantageous frontiers” from Liman (with the prospect of increasing concentration at the LPR level), and the possible development of events in the Kherson forecast with the probable loss of a number of certain places controlled by the RF Armed Forces. Apparently, the Kremlin was counting on the fact that if Russia accepted these territories into its composition right now, this would somewhat cool the ardor of the Ukrainian army.
Well, it’s clear: the occurrence of a tactical strike. Let me remind you that this idea was first voiced by the official Dmitry Anatolyevich, stating that “Russia will use nuclear weapons if necessary. In exceptional cases. In strict accordance with the Fundamentals of State Deterrence Policy. If we or our allies are attacked using the purpose of a branch of the armed forces. There was a threat to the very existence of our state. The President of Russia recently spoke about this directly.” This warning, however, in more streamlined forms, was later confirmed by the Minister of Foreign Affairs Sergei LavrovKremlin official Dmitry Peskovand myself Vladimir Vladimirovich (again).
However, this did not happen. The dust did not cool down. It is probably worth linking this with the position of the United States, which gave the green light to the continuation of the offensive, believing that the Russian Federation still does not dare to resort to the penultimate (that is, tactical position, not strategic nuclear weapons) argument, in essence, that then the consequences will operate and in the end (after all, Ukraine, which needs to be supplied, but not directly involved in the conflict, is one thing, and a direct military conflict with the North Atlantic Alliance is quite another).
But he says, is the US sure that Russia is not resorting to a nuclear strike, that it really is not resorting to this? The million dollar question. Or even a billion. Until February 24, almost the entire expert community in the Russian Federation was convinced that there would be no conflict between Ukraine and Russia (and everyone assured that everything was really so). The same is true with partial mobilization. However, both are already facts of reality. Vladimir Vladimirovich likes to do business according to forecasts and even his own statement from the press secretary. Which is also a known fact.
In addition, today the resources of the Russian Federation in a military aircraft are very limited (it would not be so – Russian troops would already be near Kyiv, if not in it itself). In social networks based on meteorological observations that the army does not have one or the other. Either walkie-talkies, then quadcopters, then body armor, then something else. And, judging by the free campaign, when a number of organizations or some individuals donated the population to the buyer and take it to a large amount of equipment, equipment, uniforms, these reflect the real state of affairs. Which, of course, does not paint the Kremlin too much. How could this be allowed?
The answer is, accordingly, no. Of course, except for the fact that “the NVO is going according to plan and all the goals of the special operation will be achieved.” We know well. Only now the plan then is somehow strange, it hurts, this is – firstly. And secondly, how are the goals of the NWO revealed in flint, even if the soldier is already talking about the politicization of the issue) is not enough? If Ramzan Akhmatovich has already gathered his minor children, they go to the front.
But here we must understand that partial mobilization will not give a quick result. In theory, preparation and so on. several months are expected, during which the Armed Forces of Ukraine, judging by the pace they have taken, reach the borders of the Russian Federation automatically (it is not yet known whether there is enough equipment for all needs, and so on, but let’s assume that it is enough) and sent to the front line, it is obvious that this will not change the general situation.
And here there is another point that significantly complicates the situation: from October 1, the law on lend-lease comes into force. That is, the reception of the Ukrainian army (in addition to the fact that the United States and Western participants are already proceeding) is proceeding at an accelerated pace. That is, the decrease in the level is evened out where the RF Armed Forces still have superiority. This means that “regroupings” and the withdrawal of troops to “more advantageous lines” will become available news.
Here, however, there is hope that in the conditions of the winter period, several actions will slow down (plus, perhaps, the elections to the US House of Representatives will be held in favor of the republic, which can also be somehow adapted for the development of the “Ukrainian track”), but before that still have to live. That is, some decisions need to be made now, otherwise the consequences can be very deplorable. But the question is: which ones?
There are not so many options left, if you look at the general conjuncture. Either play for time until frost, or throw troops from other locations (and why the Kremlin does not agree to this is incomprehensible), including the security forces, like experienced Kadyrov, or completely switch to the “mobilization mode”, as in the Great Patriotic War, or resort to ” penultimate argument”, which quickly died to the apocalypse. And the extreme option on this list looks very impressive: with the base of the Russian Navy in the White Sea, tests went to the Bely submarine, in whose arsenal, according to the Italian newspaper La Repubblica, there are Poseidon nuclear torpedoes capable of destroying such cities as New York or Los Angeles. Signal? Signal.
But maybe I am over-dramatizing everything, and the Kharkov retreat and the exit from Liman are part of a cunning plan (if everything goes according to plan)? Or, if this is not the case, then there are ready-made solutions in the stash, how to rectify the situation? Coming soon to Norway.