For once, I agree with the quotes from the bettors. Inter, fresh from the blow in Udine, is more likely to win than Roma, defeated at home by Atalanta, in the direct match on the eighth day of our Serie A, scheduled for this afternoon (6 pm) at San Siro.
The conviction, of course, does not lie in the individual visas that, if anything, Simone Inzaghi lost Brozovic without counting on Lukaku’s return, while Mourinho will have Dybala and, probably, from the start.
The point is that Inter seem much more square and solid to me than his opponent. I don’t rely on the last game, but on collective characteristics. Roma have conceded fewer goals than Inter (7 against 11), but have interpreters (Ibanez, Smalling and Mancini) who work more on one-on-one than in the department. In midfield, in pure theory, there is Nerazzurri numerical superiority, probably accentuated if Dybala will take the place of Pellegrini with the captain retreating on the median line. Ahead Dezko and Lautaro have more strength and explosiveness than Abraham, Zaniolo and Dybala.
PERSONALITY’ – Now, I know well the reasons of those who object: you do not win by power alone, but also by technique and agility. Inter’s superiority in midfield will not be constant because, in the non-possession phase, the team moves back the two “fifths”. Defense is perhaps the department with the most problems in Inzaghi’s composition.
Having said that the prediction is, as the haruspices taught, a question of the guts (from the vision of which, in ancient times, they drew indications for the wonders), I believe that Inter is overall endowed with a greater personality than Rome.
Before Inzaghi, on the Nerazzurri’s bench, there was Conte, a coach with a great ability to transmit mentality to his players. Which have more experience and superior ability to win than their competitors. Then, as happened last year, the Interisti did not win the Scudetto. However, they came close to him and won the Italian Cup and the Super Cup. It is true that Roma took a piece of the European stage with the Conference League, but Mourinho’s work started after Conte’s. and, therefore, it can only be late. In my considerations, also the too many defeats remedied by Roma in the direct clashes of the last championship, an indication of fragility and / or lack of determination, weigh.
THE ABSENT – One thing I don’t feel like subscribing. That is, that Roma is inferior to Inter in an absolute sense. Let’s say that he is working to shorten the difference and that, perhaps, in a good championship, the gap will be filled. But now, for me, it’s still not a successful operation.
If, however, someone wants to read today’s game as an addition or subtraction of individuality, there is no doubt that Mourinho is missing only Karsdorp (not really a phenomenon), while Simone will replace the indispensable Brozovic with the semi-rookie Asllani, a midfielder who has not yet earned the coach’s trust. Lukaku’s absence, as well as expected, is less heavy, because the last Dzeko, in my opinion, is even more useful than him.
THREE REASONS – And then – my bewildered reader will ask – why should Inter win?
I repeat, in summary, two concepts foreseen and add a consideration inherited from the stop.
1) Inter are more of a team than Roma even without two starters.
2) Inter are more used to winning head-to-head matches
3) Inter have a player that Mancini’s national team has relaunched in his natural role. I refer, of course, to Dimarco, perhaps the best in the absolute sense in the last two matches in the blue jersey. As a full-fledged left winger, he propitiated occasions and scored a goal, defended and restarted, won tackles and shot on goal. Only that he must be put on the outside, not to make the third in a three-man defense. Inzaghi, who is an intelligent coach also because he is humble, has seen and understood.