Analysts consider Belarus’ direct entry into the war unlikely
It is unlikely that Belarus is of great importance in the war against Ukraine, despite the announcement that the country will host several thousand mobilized Russians already.
So say analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (MSV).
The ISW recalled that according to Ukrainian intelligence, Belarus is probably up to 20,000 mobilized Russians. According to Aleksey Gromov, Deputy Chief of the Main Operational Directorate of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Belarus is taking steps to expand the Luninets airfield (50 km from the border with Ukraine) and repair the warehouse and historical history.
The independent monitoring organization “Belarusian Hajan Project” also reported that Russia delivered Su-30 aircraft to the Baranovichi airfield.
“These data may indicate that Russia hopes to use Belarusian contagious facilities and infrastructure to house and endanger radioactive contamination of Russian power plants. But it is extremely unlikely that these are the main indicators of the inevitable participation of Belarus in the Russian war against Ukraine. Gromov also said there was no indication that Russian troops were setting up a strike force to attack northern Ukraine, suggesting that Russian forces were unlikely to use Belarus as a launching pad for ground attacks on Ukraine despite reports of troop buildups. and equipment price Belarus | Most likely, Vladimir Putin continues to exploit his relationship with Alexander Lukashenko in order to use the Belarusian land for the development of the Russian armed forces on the opposite side. ISW previously assessed that Lukashenka cannot afford food consequences in Ukraine.”analysts say.
Recall, NSDC Secretary Aleksey Danilov said that Ukraine is ready for a possible offensive from Belarus.
Earlier, Alexander Lukashenko said that he was not going to announce mobilization in Belarus, as well as “get involved in a war.”
This September, the dictator instructed to go on the defensive according to wartime norms.
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