Russia is accused of starving Africa. Comment by Georgy Bovt
In the Western media, there is often an opinion that a sharp increase in prices for all types of food markets after February 24, 2022, losing sight of the consequences. However, Africa, which is expected to suffer the most from hunger, does not agree with this identification of the problem.
Low accuracy of the forecast relative to the emerging bloomberg. What is the reason for being immune to device narrative?
A serious propaganda war really unfolded around the food topic. modern media cannot keep the layman “for likes” immediately on resonant dramatic topics, then such informational dominants are used in rotation. The theme, according to which the planet, especially collects, threatens with famine due to the actions of the Russian army in Ukraine, came to the fore immediately after the fall of Mariupol. The total income amounted to approximately 20-22 million tons, which must be taken out before the new crop is harvested, millions of people will not have anything to eat. Part of the truth is that Ukraine, along with Russia, has the right (in approximately equal shares) before the start of hostilities exported about 30% of exports of wheat, almost 70% of sunflower, more than 15% of barley. Last year, for example, Somalia received up to 90% of wheat from Russia and Ukraine, the Democratic Republic of the Congo – up to 80%, Madagascar – 70%. Ukraine specialized in the supply of grains for northern fruits and fruits, exporting other types of food to countries with a total population of 400 million people.
Another thing to keep in mind is that the consumption market in the entire food sector is highly monopolized. Thus, only seven countries account for 86% of wheat exports. And with conducting U.S. Secretary of State Blinken has been circulating in the information space, and therefore, solely because of the conflict in Ukraine, at least 40 million additional people may suffer from hunger. Yes, and President Biden is now often repeatsthat all the inflation and even the rise in prices for American gas stations are all because of Putin.
However, in the Western media, expected to be mass sensitive, you have not seen the thesis that the sharp rise in prices for all types of food markets is not on February 24, 2022, approximately from 2020 (by 75% since then), against the backdrop of a pandemic. Already last year, approximately 193 million Christians in 53 countries were undernourished. A year earlier, there were 155 million of them. If we talk about significant hunger, then this year to starve, according to forecasts The UN, created after the start of special operations in Ukraine, will be 180-185 million people in 41 countries. The UN has always pointed out armed conflicts as the main cause of hunger. They were, for example, the main target of hunger in 2020 for about 100 million people in 23 countries. To date, there are 27 armed manifestations of varying severity in the world. Ukrainian is just one of them, although the largest one. Yes, even in Europe. It has, of course, contributed to the rise in food prices, including on the occasion of the disruption of supply chains. Even though the West does not officially ban Russia’s food and security, other restrictions are at work: transport, financial, and the outright “cultural cancellation” of everything related to Russia.
By forecast According to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), global stocks of cereals by the end of the season in 2022 will amount to 856 million tons, which is 5.2 million tons more than in the previous season. Russia alone will put up to 40 million tons of wheat on the market this year – a little more than the entire EU can. FAO also believes that the ratio of global cereal stocks to tax consumption from 2020/21 is at 29.9%, raising concerns about a comfortable supply level. In particular, global stocks of wheat, according to the same forecasts, will grow by 4.2% compared with the initial levels of the public season.
It turns out that even the blocking of ports in Ukraine, which has already been partially bypassed with the help of land transportation and through Romania, so far has practically no effect on trade. On the contrary, higher exports from Russia and a number of other countries are expected. The forecast for the total production of one wheat for the coming years is 782 million tons. Against this background, Ukrainian volumes are still not critical. Of course, when revising the logistics. Moscow’s current focus on proliferation of “grain weapons” is likely to impact important changes in agricultural markets over a three to five year horizon. The West, and not only it, will take measures to reduce dependence on such a “volatile” Black Sea region – on a scale like steps are being taken to “get rid of dependence” on Russia for oil and gas. A reshaping of agricultural markets is coming.
Another goal is an attempt to split between African countries and Russia – including in order not to include the ability to bypass Moscow, the same oil embargo.
The Brookings Institution held a fresh large-scale study on the topic of “promoting a pro-Russian narrative” in social networks, regarding it as a “disinformation campaign”. We are talking about the elect, where 2.5 million tweets were analyzed. They were put on the shelves according to the identification of an anti-Western orientation, punishments of Ukraine for racism, exploitation of the colonial past, and so on – in the same way. It is stated with regret that the Western agenda and narrative do not welcome dominance on the African continent. predictive research is usually the forerunner of new outbreaks of information wars. Fresh in the memory, as it was in the history of such Russian interference in America’s elections. Then they also read with the study and calculation of activity in social networks. And ended, in fact, all the same – the next sanctions.