Poland’s war with Russia? “Russia would not enter the state to enter our territory”
At the NATO summit in Madrid, important arrangements were made regarding the security of the Alliance’s eastern flank. What does the distribution of forces look like? How to report to a possible confrontation between the West and Russia? About it Michał Zieliński with doctor Wojciech Lorenz from the Polish Institute of International Affairs, who was at the summit in Madrid.
Michał Zieliński: Little was said about what NATO plan for a possible installation on our damned plains between Rose and Western Europe. The plan, that the army defended, simulations would probably be on the thigh, but to be good, that’s it. It will most likely end with guerrilla warfare and then it will end would follow relief.
Dr. Wojciech Lorenz from the Polish Institute of International Affairs: He did that a little bit to do a little scenario, I believe, like the loss of own production in Ukraine. Our potential is more modern than that of Ukraine. The USA also has bilateral mechanisms synchronized within NATO, which allow us to force the allies to a relatively quick option for a possible event. So it is because of ours that Russia was able to enter the territory through them.
Now we also have a victory, supported by organizational arrangements at the Madrid Summit, that in the event of war, from the very beginning, the Alliance will transfer troops to us and defend us from day one. With us, however, the forward command probably gives little, however, this more numerous tool to fix a solution that helps to solve the problem. One country in its own countries stationed in the West as if it could be present to be launched.
The decisions that have now been made at the NATO summit, one of the first will be in the federation yet. Size, division, how big a part, a part will be able to be transferred within 10 days, how big it will be during the period of validity, like after a period of one year. Such a plan is already roughly presented. I had the fastest access to about 100,000 and another 2,000,000 and 2,000 by the year which was to be dedicated to mobilizing half a million troops. Remember that the use of this particular card from the first day, it must be based on the existence, may depend on the need to use anti-handling at the service level. It is unable to do this. Russia has mobilized its troops to aggression against Ukraine since last April.
No, we’ve heard about it for months.
Here, of course, are the so-called In order to score points in the scoring in which mobilizes the client who is brought down to carry out aggression and surveillance, that he can do aggression, that can be moved to invade other elements, take the expectation are to come down to this method. to take the point of targeting aggression. This is what is constantly being produced on, raising the threshold and increasing the risk with possible aggression. On this point, about the situation when they appeared, when they broke out, and we were talking about battalions in Poland, now when we are talking about the fact that we are talking about brigades. Even if it is not possible to have a full brigade permanently stationed in Estonia and Lithuania, within a few days it will be possible, based on the mechanisms that we will achieve, we will continue to create. The aggression threshold is raised. Plus ten signals that send us to the fact that we are moving from support of around 40,000 to support of 300 or even half a million to join the bottom bracket that NATO will be providing support, which we encourage to do at the beginning of support. To handle the Russian use of the threat of conflict, a large regional conflict to handle. If you were to decide that the Alliance would have the resources, you would indeed enter into such a confrontation.
Sorry to ask directly now. But you say if I did. Instead of choosing a portrait variant, or choosing a permanent wall in a guerrilla war, now in this Russian robbery we had to have a mandatory choice guard. By co-ruined to the horizon? What does it look like?
It looked bad for Russia. Poland intends to prepare the accumulated potentials, preparation potential, posed potential and conditioned proportions. So quite a lot of public opinion to decide on the defense. Experts can discuss whether up to 4 or 6 divisions. This potential, obtained from Article 3 of the Washington Treaty of the potential, that Poland must have the ability to prepare, to conduct defense activities, to self-defense in proportion to the potential potential. Where we are unable to do more, we can count on the support of our allies. And here a whole lot of resources that Poland would not be able to develop. Including the ability to initiate a long-range opening at a fast speed for air dominance. It requires several hundred combat missiles, preferably the first generation, which requires advanced biochemical and anti-missile systems. I am not just brigades, but two or several dozen brigades. The Alliance has this potential. I recently attended a conference on maritime safety in the Baltic Sea. I am asking the military what this potential of our navy looks like. What if there was a war and the first first Baltic Fleet. I can hear answers to the completely destroyed Baltic Fleet, free of charge. Rest brigades that would enter the territory of Poland and gradually take off, already very weakened thanks to our national potential, and arriving at the entrance, the NATO approval of the American candidacy to strengthen the protection of the United Semen’s environment by the first. Using this potential – despite the many problems that exist and which will have to be solved and solved for many years – while still the Russian potential has been weakened, these brigade services and divisions were simply removed to pieces.
Sounds very optimistic. You are talking about these investments, proportional to our possibilities, position and social support. We do buy HIMARS launchers from the Americans in bulk, we are supposed to have a lot of them, Patriot launchers, Abrams tanks, they are to be F-35. Well that’s it, which means having a certain belt and spending hundreds of billions on guns. But when will we actually bring these tens of thousands of tons of modern weapons to Poland so that we can also defend ourselves? How then on the potentials according to the design?
Knowing what are the political goals of Russia – so that Poland has managed to achieve success. There is no experience, an attack on Poland is such an Internet Internet platform, which is the basis for the Baltic, which you would write for Russia as more rational. Basically, the idea is to force the Alliance’s buffer zone to regain integrity through territorial integrity. It is much easier to do more of your own Baltic than with Poland. The idea would be for this war to open up part of the contract. For the contract, he would create …
Retraction of the West from Russia.
Yes, the goals she declared on sale last year that she has a buffer so that there are no weapons and NATO resources here. Of course, our potential was weakened by this very important Russian information. However, the main difference is that we don’t have nuclear weapons.
We are a country with greatness and for many reasons developing nuclear potential for reasons, strategic and financial justification is not rational and it is better to rely on allied guarantees that allow to establish nuclear blackmail. Russia speaks as it tells you, because if not, we have nuclear weapons. And we say we are a nuclear alliance, if you strike nuclear weapons it will be a counter strike. And of course I am starting to have a lead here, some expert disagreements about how much it is paid for. During the Cold War, ten tens of thousands of articles were written, thousands of articles, and peculiarly the dilemmas are not solved, but to neutralize this health problem, the threat of membership of the Alliance is approved. If we can neutralize such a threat, then we do not succumb to blackmail, our will to resist it does not weaken, and despite these threats, we can continue on a conventional level on our own or in a coalition format. Our potential is greatly enhanced and strengthened in this way.
Of course, there are two trends here. Despite the fact that Russia is very seriously weakened by Ukraine, this potential will be rebuilt in 5.10 years. So we have 5 or 10 years to greatly strengthen the strengthened defense capabilities on the eastern flank, also taking into account the scenario that the United States will increasingly achieve itself in the Pacific. Let us remember that you cannot remember that you withdrew from Europe because the influence on NATO over NATO nations, on the rights of the people who are the Alliance and the 32 nations of promotion and the jury, the Americans were obtained just by entering the selection field in Europe. So they will keep some elements here. If you still want that, you want it to be in a cold acquisition to get the United States so much potential. Even if they already exist for the service, plus other resources, opportunities to do everything in Europe from a point that already has 5 points, which is already being deployed, Russia should read it clearly. She saw that the conflict with NATO was not in her interest.