In the context of the latest political and security developments on the right and left of the Dniester, there are two scenarios for Transnistrian troops, one of which aims to destabilize the situation in the Republic of Moldova.

In the context of the latest events on the left bank of the Dniester, which culminated yesterday with the dismissal of the Marttenov government, security analysts in Chisinau say that at this moment it is unlikely that the military forces of Transnistrian territory, whatever they may be, will act on their own.

Former ambassador of the Republic of Moldova to Washington, security analyst Dr. Igor Munteanu explains.

“Transnistrians are less likely to act on their own. They are less likely to attack Odessa on their own. In the context of military actions and employment by Crimea, for example, Transnistrians, especially with recruits, which they started to do in March could be a factor, a kind of Rosgvardia, or, for example, in other conditions, a scenario of given that equipped, trained forces with access to weapons could create another situation of insecurity in the Republic of Moldova. Igor Munteannu.

The evolution of the situation on the left bank of the Dniester is closely monitored both by the institutions empowered in this regard, but also by the civilian population which, 30 years ago, went through a war of secession.

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Igor MunteanuRepublic of MoldovaTransnistria