Comment: Bulgaria has slept for years in the comfort of Russian oil, Moscow is ready to fight for 2 years
Meeting with US Vice President Kamala Harris Prime Minister Kiril Pekov has agreed to make real supplies of liquefied natural gas to Bulgaria at prices below those of Gazprom. You should start in June. The expectations are Bulgaria’s energy cooperation with the United States to achieve security and diversification.
“The news is good, but it depends on when and on which routes the delivery will be made. The truth is that there is a strong shortage of natural gas on the market. Whoever can pay more will be freer in their choice,” the journalist commented. Valeri Todorov in the studio of “Bulgaria in the morning”.
He does not see an easy road ahead for Bulgaria in alternative supplies for Neftochim.
“The oil refinery in its current setting can process a certain type and determine the quantities of raw materials. EU countries have been added to a disadvantaged position. You need to hear our voices to impose a Russian embargo. The argument that I have access to the sea is not strong, because we do not have the capacity, “said the journalist.
The economist Assoc. Prof. Koso Stoychev stressed that the US decision to help Bulgaria with liquefied gas will be a good test for alternative supplies.
“These are real actions on Biden’s promise to help European partners. I assume that the contract price will be below the market, as part of a package of measures for European countries. This way we will know if this channel will work well technically. You will balance prices – whether up or down, the important thing is that we will have an energy resource “, added the economist to Bulgaria ON AIR.
And I emphasize that the choice before the government is difficult – in terms of foreign policy and in terms of crises in the country.
“Geopolitically, it is not good to veto, at this time the national or interest must be protected. In any case, we have not taken care of alternative oil supplies over the years. The Bulgarian state has slept for a long time in the comfort of Russian oil due to the lack of an alternative to supply from the Middle East. Technologically, the refinery is not ready to work with oil other than Russian “, stressed Assoc. Prof. Stoychev.
Both interlocutors are convinced that the war, and hence the crises in the world, will last longer than honor.
“The war will go through 1-2 hot phases, cooling, negotiations, recovery period. All security is changing, we must react resiliently. Opposing -philes and -phobes brings more problems of an emotional nature, cold-blooded analysis. Economic depletion begins. Relations, trade, rules are broken. The one who reacts more flexibly and is better prepared will succeed“, Valeri Todorov is convinced.
The interlocutor stressed that the war is far from being only on the battlefield and is not limited to the region or Europe.
“If before the war we lived in a world where the economy dictated politics, now politics dictates the economy. This reversal of the page creates many problems and some politicians are unprepared, there are no state leaders outside the United States. There is an escalation of prices, market levels of goods are changing – production, transport. Separating politics from economics, politics runs down a path, economics fails to catch up. “Everything is developing at very high speeds,” the journalist added.
Assoc. Prof. Stoychev is convinced that Russia has a preliminary attitude to fight and defend itself for 24 months.
“This is a long-term planned action, it was no coincidence that Kovid began to include the crisis in the global plan. They have drawn up a plan to last 24 months in this situation. The war is in the phase of strength muscles, the question is how long we can last, the war is already a resource. “the economist analyzes.
Valeri Todorov is convinced that whichever country will be declared the winner in the conflict, there will be new wars.
“The defeated country will always feel threatened. Europe is currently pursuing not its own policy, but that of the United States. Goals, deadlines, countries that can mediate the conflict must be formulated. The Minsk agreements are already clear, and reforms are politically needed in Ukraine itself. Pressure on Russia carries even greater risks. There is one way – diplomatic, which must be combined with military and economic measures. “, additional journalist.
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Watch the whole conversation in the video.
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