Virologist, head of the laboratory of bionanotechnology, microbiology and virology of the Novosibirsk State University Sergey Netesov in an interview with RIA News predicted the duration of the new probability in Russia. According to the scientist, it can last from two to four months.

As the expert found out, the omicron strain of COVID-19 is spreading rapidly due to the accelerated reproduction of new love and its ability to try vaccine protection. In addition, a new suspicious strain from the previous ones in terms of antigens of a dangerous infection, which allows increasing immunity to existing vaccines, especially people, if vaccinated more than six months ago, is used by Netesov.

People all the time think that something magical will take them out, but in fact nothing will take out the vaccines … Still, the vaccinated get sick easily, and the unvaccinated are the main seriously ill patients: there are more than 90 percent of them among the seriously ill

Sergey Netesovvirologist

Immunologist Nikolai Kryuchkov believes that the stabilization of the situation with COVID-19 in Russia reaches a minimum after 2.5 weeks – then the increase in the incidence will stop and will remain at the same level.

New waves and pandemics

According to Denis Protsenko, Chief Physician of the City Clinical Hospital No. 40 in Kommunarka, a special feature of the new incidence of diseases with omicron strains is that the load on the primary outpatient link has increased. Due to the relatively mild course of diseases, hospitalization in hospitals is often not accompanied by such an explosive pace, the bulk of patients are treated by general practitioners, he explained.

At the same time, Netesov, the fifth wave of COVID-19 may well not be the last, since the variability of the virus remains far from exhausted. The same excitement of the head of the Yekaterinburg Research Institute of Viral Diseases is the opinion of the Federal Budgetary Institution of Science of the State Scientific Center of the VB “Vector” of Rospotrebnadzor, Doctor of Biological Sciences Alexander Semenov. He also predicted the emergence of a new comfort virus in the future.

In an average pandemic, it will be from one to three years, and the frequency with which they can occur depends on natural factors, Semyonov returns. However, on average, a new significant form of the disease occurs about once every 15-20 years.

“Super strains”

Biosafety expert Nikolai Durmanov warned that if the new strain has nearly 50 mutations that occur during infection with a coronavirus infection in a person with a weakened immune system, this means that in the same way the formation of new discovered genetic materials in the virus is formed, and “we can Get them”. more “evil” strain.”

new “super strains” are discovered with insufficiently high rates of vaccination of the group in the world, USA Dumanov. He added that the number of unvaccinated people in different parts of the planet is a kind of reservoir for various mutations of the virus.

In addition, the situation may worsen if it becomes a zoonotic infection, that is, it spreads not only among people, but also among animals. Therefore, on purpose, it is necessary to create a layer of immune people, “so that the virus does not walk on our planet, nature does not work on it in terms of mutations and recombinations.”

Opinions on the danger of a pandemic

Experts give different predictions about the emergence of a pandemic of the disease. So, the director of the European Regional Office for Health Organization (WHO), Hans Kluge, admitted that she could leave after the omicron strain. Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences Alexander Sokolov doubted this forecast. He believes the coronavirus is turning into something likely to be the flu.

At the same time, a specialist in especially dangerous infections, an immunologist Vladislav Zhemchugov, believes that the coronavirus will leave people for animals. He admitted that the omicron-strain of morbidity, after which COVID-19 quickly spread among the populations.

New varieties

On January 21, the UK Health Agency (UKHSA) registered a new suspicious omicron strain – BA.2. According to preliminary data, this mutation should have a high spread rate, but the number of cases of infection in the country is low.

At the same time, John Brownstein, a specialist at the Boston Children’s Hospital at Harvard University, said that BA.2 is more difficult to recognize than the original strain of the disease – BA.1. That is why neither a PCR test for the presence of COVID-19 nor a rapid test can be used to determine it.

At the same time, alarming news was received that a virus from China, under the suspicion of a professor at Wuhan University, Yan Huan, discovered a new NeoCov coronavirus in South Africa, which is dangerous to humans. They warned of its danger and the risk of its infiltration into the human population. To penetrate the human body, the virus must mutate, at the moment it is dangerous only for bats.