Named the possible steps of Russia after the US response to the security guarantee Russian news EN
In Russia, it is technically possible to switch to forceful methods of resolving the conflict with the United States and NATO after receiving a response on a security guarantee, political scientist Pavel Salin believes. In a conversation with Lenta.ru, he noted that the limited steps would depend on the decisions of Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, commenting on the discussion of the US content on Moscow’s proposal for a security guarantee in Europe, noted:
Next steps
“We must always remember that it is Putin who is the author of the ultimatum to the EU and the US. The decision on the steps taken, on whether Russia will respond enough on “secondary” topics, will be up to him alone. And it depends only on him whether the conflict will escalate to the limit or whether the Kremlin will still reduce its movement with this story,” Salin said.
According to the political scientist, two cases are necessary for the transition to forceful methods: technical and psychological readiness for escalation.
There was a statement about the possible recognition of the LPR and the DPR. The Kremlin found that neither in Ukraine nor in the West did it show much investigation. it has already gone to the abandonment of weapons. For now, all this pure psychological pressure is needed, but if Putin decides, the situation will move to a new level
Pavel Salinpolitical scientist
At this point, like Salin, it is unlikely that spending will be made to make concessions appropriate to Russia. In particular, on the issue of non-expansion of NATO.
“For calculation, this is unacceptable. They can reduce the amount of resources in Europe. As for Ukraine, the Minsk agreements, Putin overestimated the influence of Washington on Kiev. The forecast already assesses the pressure on the country, but Zelensky does not obey the West as much as Putin expected, ”the political scientist suggested.
The New York Times previously wrote that the Need for Weather and the Alliance are calling for the need to uphold the rules and scope of military research, as well as limit it to remote locations far from borders so that it cannot be confused with an army ready to invade within the scope of a particular state. The documents also make it clear that Russia has no veto power over the presence of military or conventional forces in NATO countries.