There is an unknown scientific device in nature, announced by Anatoly Altshtein, Chief Researcher of the N. F. Gamaleya Research Center for Epidemiology and Microbiology, authors “News”.
According to the specialist, it remains unclear to him why at some point the morbidity curve suddenly declines. “Why it rises is understandable – this is an epidemic process: the virus finds a sensitive host and spreads. But why is there a decline in the incidence, ”he called the riddle. The specialist recalled that this means that a person who has recovered from COVID-19 has potential immunity. At the same time, there were waves at the beginning of the pandemic, when few recovered and vaccinated people were registered. The epidemiologist suggested the presence of a mechanism that causes the development of an epidemic of the incidence of a contagious virus.
“For example, the faster a virus reproduces, the more its genome is damaged by neutral and harmful mutations, this is its contagiousness. Morbidity. Then a new option comes along and it resumes,” he added.
Altshtein drew attention to the fact that by the beginning of February, Russia will have been on the rise in the incidence for a month. The experience of the “western wave” shows that a month is the period to which the increased content at omicrons belongs. “Most likely, in early February, the incidence in Russia will decline,” he predicted.
Earlier, virologist Maxim Skulachev said that herd immunity does not work against the omicron strain.