Parisian franchise the threshold of “maximum alert”
Jean Castex is not the only Parisian who tested positive for Covid-19 and placed in solitary confinement, far from it. In the capital, the number of people affected by the pandemic is rising particularly strongly. So much so that the “maximum alert” threshold, set by the public authorities at the ratio of 250 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, has now been reached.
In Paris, the incidence of the disease stands at 258.5 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, according to data released Tuesday, November 23 by Public Health France. This is the equivalent of the incidence rate recorded at the peak of the previous wave, in July. According to this criterion, Paris is the most affected department in Ile-de-France, and the eighth in France, behind Ardèche, Haute-Corse, Bouches-du-Rhône, Haut-Rhin, Landes, Hautes-Pyrénées and Lot-et-Garonne.
In the capital, the epidemic has grown spectacularly in a few days. The number of positive cases recorded was still 78 per 100,000 inhabitants around the 1uh November. Twenty days was enough for more than to be multiplied by more than three.
A “meteoric progression”
The incidence rate is highest – over 300 per 100,000 population – among adults aged 20 to 40 years. But it is also amplified very strongly in children and adolescents. “In schools, the progression of the Covid is dazzling”, alarmed Ghislaine Morvan-Dubois, from the FCPE parents’ federation. As soon as there is a positive case, the class must close. Monday, there are 339 classes closed in Paris, against 134 the previous Thursday, indicated the Town Hall. In primary school, the probability that at least one pupil will be positive in a Parisian class of 30 children is on average 36%, according to the calculations of Germain Forestier, university professor. “Overnight, parents find themselves forced to find a solution, and are often desperate”, notes Ghislaine Morvan-Dubois.
In its latest epidemiological update, published on November 18, the Ile-de-France regional health agency began in a few lines the list of factors that can explain this power of the fifth wave. She cites multiple social contacts, “A decrease in the application of barrier gestures”, whose video of Jean Castex and Gérald Darmanin without a mask exchanging handshakes during the congress of the Association of Mayors of France provided a striking testimony “Still incomplete vaccination coverage, particularly among children and the elderly”, and “A possible attrition of immunity over time”. Without forgetting the drop in temperatures, favorable to the circulation of viruses.
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