1994, 2001, 2008, 2018, 2021: Crises in Turkey and the movement of the dollar rate
Markets in Turkey once again faced a major currency crisis today. The dollar rate exceeded its movement from 11.40’s to 13.40′ and ended with a historical peak. Your correct estimation could have taken care of a problem, as TL happened up to 20 percent during the day.
He states that President Tayyip Erdoğan’s interventions to interest rate policies refer to the economic crisis of the November 1994 crisis. The data, on the other hand, show that the volatility in the markets today is causing even greater movements than the crisis in 2018.
1994 crisis and the movement of the dollar
After Turgut Özal, the prime minister of the time, was forgotten in 1993, in the same year Süleyman Demirel and Tansu Çiller sat in the prime minister’s seat. Ciller took it from public borrowing by tying economic value to himself to reduce their interest in raising interest payments. However, in this case, I am detached from the realities of the market like I was at a young age, and I have to work hard.
According to the price of DW Turkish When Çiller, the Central Bank and the Central Bank do not forcefully give interest, you cannot sell cheaply at interest by selling in place of the macro store. The selection of interest on the Treasury’s loans was cancelled. This project was rejected from the court in order to be restarted in order to benefit from Telecom’s telephone service when it was not borrowed. Thereupon, the Çiller administration accelerated the printing of money.
After this exchange, a very religious capital was donated from Turkey; not international rating instruments.
With the capital outflow, in January 1994, the dollar appreciated 14 percent in one day. The month-to-month lira, taken from January and an economic series list, lost more than 160 value on the dollar.
According to economists, he would emerge from the bad economy. Due to the crisis, a 14-month stand-by was signed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in May 1994.
2001 crisis and the movement of the dollar
In 1998, one of Turkey’s most important trade partners, Russia’s plans for the crisis, and in 1999 Marmarai’s budget caused the annual economic growth to multiply.
According to the price of BBC Turkish Turkey was going through those times. It is used in high-purpose programs of very high inflation in IMF programs. The program could be set free interest, fixed. While the rate is fixed at the rate announced by the Central Bank for the day, the interest area is determined by the market.
The first blow to the economy was the liquidity crisis in November. You can take advantage of tools that will comprehensively concern US year-round open vehicles. He was forced into holding a large amount of treasury bills, which were used as a basis. It can be poured out of the fund with the pricing of the economic trends. Interbank car overnight interest rates will rise above 1000 percent, with growth to be 223 percent in November 2000.
The National Security Council (NSC) meetings held on February 19, 2001 caused the current skylight in the market to turn into a profound economic crisis. The program, which has already been widely implemented and implemented for use due to the liquidity problem, is in serious confidence.
In the same day, a foreign exchange outlook of over 7 billion dollars was seen, while overnight interest rates on the way saw 5 thousand to 7 thousand 500 customers. Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) lost more than 20 percent in one day.
It was directed to the web pages of websites for the banking sector. While the company is shutting down, a hundred people are left unemployed.
Two days later, at the NSC meeting, the fixed currency exchange rate was changed to a floating currency. The dollar exchange rate, which was 684 thousand TL before the decision, is changed to 1.2 million TL with the floating lottery.
Kemal Derviş, who was the vice president of the World in March, was invited to Turkey and to the state ministry responsible for the economy. It was signed by the IMF and a new economic program was introduced to reform the industrial field.
2008 crisis and the dollar rate
In 2007 and mainly in 2008, this crisis started with an external turmoil, normally in Turkey. In this world, countries that have, however, may be less than out of crisis. The pre-crisis dollar rate is hovering around 1.20.1 dollar equals 1 TL‘ were having conversations.
Rate from the crisis, record break with a target of 1.7 points.
2018 crisis and dollar rate
The dollar exceeded the 5 TL limit after the shipment of 3-4 TL in 2017, and after the 24 June 2018 presidential and general elections. Elections target The Central Bank’s Monetary PolicyK, which convened in the near future on the exchange rate, on May 23, increased interest rates. The sudden rise in the exchange rate did not affect the economic balances, it was 20 percent for the first time in many years. erdogan’interest cause, inflation result‘ They continue their call for the application of interest in words.
In the presidential elections in 2018, Erdoğan was elected Prime Minister from the system in which the constitutional amendment parliament was passed in April 2017. Erdogan’sThis currency or something is not our future, which consists of its products. We will determine our future. Give you the authority to do this on the 24th, then how are you going to deal with this and that with this interest?”, he stated that the dollar in use would decrease. However, the next two months later, the development experienced in the August 2018 boom is a heavy blow to the TL.
US pastor Andrew Brunson, who was arrested on espionage charges on December 9, 2016, came to the ready, one after another, hard training from the USA. In the event that Brunson is announced to be released, he will travel to Turkey for a week, 6.5 TL in the days that will continue. August 12 tested 7.20 TL in international markets. In October 2018, the dollar may increase by 5 TL again after Brunson’s release. The dollar rate closed 2018 at 5.29 TL.
2021 crisis and dollar rate
He benefited from Erdogan’s long cuts, which started with the decline in the Central Bank, by 100 points in September, and then by 200 and a basis point each. In the presentation of the last annual inflation report, MB Chairman Şahap Kavcıoğlu gave the return to the current account balance from the falling point of the headline inflation. Kavcıoğlu, the relationship between exchange rate and inflation’ dairy has caused confusion in the markets. President, with the image that the surplus of the car will increase its price in a short time, also wished that the pressure on the exchange rate would decrease when the vehicle is provided at the same level as the vehicle.
This is President Erdogan firstI can’t be with those who support interest” he said, then made the following statements yesterday: “Competitiveness in the currency leads to improvement in investment, development and development. We welcome policy rate cuts. What do we do with this policy, very good warning. we are determined to do the right thing for the right choice for the best economy, the investment will be made, the investment will be made, if the interest is going to be lowered.”
Erdogan’s attractiveness caused the TL to gain great value, especially in November.
The dollar dry November device, which was around 8.30 at the beginning of September, reached 9.50.
The event in November accelerated and exceeded 35 percent and the dollar exceeded 13 TL. The exchange rate was at 7.30 at the beginning of 2021.
