Operation “Gateway”. Belarus and the Russian Federation can send their migrants to Ukraine: how much and when – news from Ukraine, Politics
From November 20, the special services of Belarus and Russia can send a crowd of migrants under their control to the border with Ukraine. The NSDC held an emergency meeting, the security forces are transferring additional troops and special equipment to the Ukrainian-Belarusian border.
Can Ukraine find itself in the center of the migration crisis and when, is there time to prepare for a breakthrough: analysis LIGA.net…
WHAT’S HAPPENED. One of the first that illegal migrants can already attack the Ukrainian border from Belarus, said Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki.
“We are aware of the risk that if this (Polish) border is very tight, migration flows may pass through Ukraine.
Breakthrough of the Ukrainian border by Middle Eastern migrants is most likely in the period from November 20 to December 1, with reference to the data of the special services reported LIGA.net Deputy Head of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on National Security and Defense Mariana Bezuglaya.
Since the end of October, information about such events has been reported in some pro-government media in Russia and Belarus.
“The preliminary deadline is November 20. A possible mechanism is up to 1000 and more illegal immigrants from the Brest region of Belarus through a short swampy area of the north-western border of Ukraine, ”Bezuglaya quotes information from the special services.
The section of the Ukrainian-Polish border in this area is poorly equipped.
“It is possible that the Kremlin, in case of further congestion on the Belarusian-Polish border, can use this border,” the People’s Deputy noted.
So far, there are no facts of the use of Ukrainians by the Russian Federation and Belarus to provide channels for illegal transmission. Information on the creation of conditions by Minsk for illegal traffic through Ukraine to the EU is being verified.
The special operation of the special services of Belarus and the Russian Federation with migrants was named “Gateway”. Preparations for it, according to the Ukrainian special services, began in 2020. The operation is carried out in three stages.
A separate service for active events is responsible for organizing the traffic of migrants – a special unit of the border troops of Belarus, under the supervision of the special services of the Russian Federation. Specifically: the head of the KGB of the Republic of Bashkortostan, Lieutenant General Ivan Tertel and his brother, ex-head of the OSAM Yuri Tertel.
“Migrants come to Belarus under the guise of tourists. According to the scheme, the travel agencies Oscartur (office in Lisbon, controlled by the special services of the Russian Federation) and Joodland (Baghdad, controlled by the special services of Belarus) were involved. “Tourists” pay 800-1200 dollars, “says Bezuglaya.
The scheme involves state hotels, insurance companies and private firms.
WHY IS IT IMPORTANT. The length of the Ukrainian-Belarusian border is more than 1000 km. And she is practically not equipped, says LIGA.net member of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on National Security and Defense Roman Kostenko (Voice): “Consider there is practically no border.”
According to him, Ukraine could be a gigantic problem if a flow of migrants rushes there: “We have not yet established a border with Belarus – these are plowed control zones.
“Just fields, forest belts – and a dividing strip. There is no arrangement. There are columns, that’s all. If the Russian Federation and Belarus redirect the flow from Poland to Ukraine, it will be a big challenge and problem for our border guards,” Kostenko said.
The count goes to the clock, super Kostenko: “Those people who climb over the wire are not subjects.
Technically, Ukraine will not have time to equip the border, the people’s deputy regrets: “. The most we can do is to strengthen patrolling and include a special border regime. “
Now Ukraine is urgently strengthening the border with Belarus. Additional equipment, border guards with dogs and drones are being pulled to the border, say in the Ministry of Internal Affairs… The security officials fully assure that the situation at the border is under control. And already even probable directions calculated, migrants can get to Ukraine.
The NSDC today thought over an algorithm of actions in case such a scenario develops. There will be more than enough forces and means, the secretary of the council assured after him Alexey Danilov…
“All that is needed, will be involved“, – he assured.
“All the relevant departments have received instructions. And all of them will be sure to follow,” Danilov says.
Interior Minister Denis Monastyrsky After the unification, the security amplifier with Belarus: border guards and national guardsmen are involved. Today, areas have been identified that are most likely for a massive gathering of migrants.
In the border areas in the near future, deployed terrorist units to check their conduct and exercises. In the event of a negative scenario, the response of the Ukrainian security officials will be clear and tough, the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs assured, but correct within the framework of the law.
WHAT’S NEXT. On November 15, the fifth package of EU sanctions against Belarus is expected to be introduced. This will only spur Lukashenka.
Now in Belarus from the Middle Eastern countries weekly arrive for about 15-17 months, says Bezuglaya. This is already an overload for the civil aircraft fleet of Belarus. At the same time, an increase in the number of migrants is observed at the level of + 700-800 people daily.
Intelligence agencies expect Belarus to reach a critical level between November 20 and December 1. He can suddenly.
While the situation on the border is calm, the source said. LIGA.net in the State Border Service: “We did not register groups of illegal migrants.
The border guards do not report the details of the preparation: tomorrow Monastyrsky will arrive at the border with Belarus and give more information.
“The fact that we are strengthening – yes.
The Ministry of Internal Affairs, not under the record, says that the scenario with the transfer of migrants to the border with Ukraine is very likely. “We consider it very likely,” – said LIGA.net a source that interests the NSDC on the border with Belarus. He does not want to disclose how they will intensify: “This will be announced in due course. A plan is underway to redeploy reserves.”
Read also: Topic of the day | “Lukashenko’s Revenge, Putin’s Plan”. How a crowd of migrants tried to break through the border into Poland
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