Bill Gates-funded institute: The peak of participants in Bulgaria will be around election day
– As of November 17, they are expected on average per day
211 reported victims
– The prognosis also takes into account the hidden mortality from the virus.
With those who do not enter the statistics, the top of the wave
will have an average of 360 dead per day
– The model continues a steady decline since the end of November.
80 victims by January 1 and 40 by February 1
The peak with the largest number of people winning the coronavirus epidemic in Bulgaria will be on November 17, 3 days after the election, according to a forecast model developed by the influential Institute for Health Indicators and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington. According to the Washington Post, the White House uses the same model. According to him, all available COVID beds will be needed on November 12.
IHME is developing scenarios for the development of the pandemic in nearly 50 countries. According to the forecasts for Bulgaria, in the next 10 days we will enter another peak of the epidemic and more than 200 reported deaths per day can be expected in the country, reaching 211 out of 17.
Americans are working on
three development scenarios
of the epidemic
in each country depending on the imposition and decision of anti-epidemic measures. Often special attention changes dramatically with each update.
The IHME states that this is the total number of those who have those who are able and lose their lives due to the coronavirus, but without being included in national statistics. Report the official casualties of COIVD by November 17 will be 211, and together with the unreported – 360, predicts the institute, funded by Bill Gates. For November 7, the last forecast of IHME (from October 29) for Bulgaria is 185% on average per day, and the real number is 8. In the history of the pandemic is achieved, often the forecasts of IHME have differed significantly from the actual data.
Then
deaths will
begin to decline
up to an average of 80 reported
until January 1 and
40 to 1 February
Meanwhile, the German Robert Koch Institute has published another study that explains why infected people in Germany have been growing rapidly in recent days despite the significant number of vaccinated. At the end of the week, there are over 35,000 people with COVID-19 every day, and the participants are between 150 and 160.
For comparison – in Bulgaria
at the time of the week
die at 158
people per million,
and in Germany –
9 per million
The comparison of infected is also not in our favor – 4430 per million against 1971 per million in Germany.
In Germany, 67% of the population is already fully vaccinated and this low mortality is compared to the high number of patients. However, the Robert Koch Institute asks the question: then why is the number rising again and now even higher than in the same period last year? The answer is that two factors play a role. First: the measures in the country are now much lighter. For example, unlike in the autumn of 2020, bars and clubs are now open and there are no restrictions on contacts. Second: the proportion of unvaccinated is still high. By the way, against this background, “Robert Koch” raised his assessment of the risk of non-vaccination and skin, which is not yet fully vaccinated, from “high” to “very high”. Therefore, according to the poll, the majority of Germans support the introduction of compulsory vaccination.
In Israel, where the same phenomenon exists – a large number of vaccines, but also an increase in cases, there is already talk of a fourth booster dose. However, according to the country’s statistics, it is clear that over 90% of those admitted to the hospital were either unvaccinated or people whose vaccine was added half a year ago. “Most people in Israel have opted for vaccination – about 5.6 million with two doses and 4 million with a third. That took us out of the fourth wave, “the authorities said on the page.
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