Continued several years to normalcy in tourism – NRK Urix – Foreign news and documentaries
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There are probably many who think it’s just good that we fly less. In any case, the pandemic has hit tourism hard, with the economic consequences it has.
This article looks at how the pandemic will affect the industry for many years to come.
Characterized by uncertainty
Oslo Airport believes they can be back to normal in 2024, Avinor informs NRK.
In July-August, air traffic was 38 percent of traffic in the same period in 2019 measured in the number of passengers.
Avinor expects traffic to pick up gradually (see graphic).
– The estimates that are given have a backdrop where there is great uncertainty about future developments, something that characterizes the industry in general. It is difficult to predict how the climate challenges and changed travel habits due to the pandemic will affect traffic, and there will also be large regional differences, says Avinor’s director of traffic development, Gaute Skallerud Riise.
London believes in 2026
London Heathrow has lost NOK 39 billion in the pandemic. They do not think traffic will return to “normal” until 2026.
The same is estimated by the airports in Spain, while tone is somewhat more optimistic in France. There, airport operator ADP believes that traffic in Paris will reach 90 percent of traffic before the 2024 pandemic.
The European aviation agency Eurocontrol has created three possible scenarios for air traffic in the coming years.
In the middle scenario, air traffic will reach the level from 2019 to 2024.
Director Eamonn Brennan of Eurocontrol says air traffic picked up this summer, but that 2021 still tends to have 44 percent fewer pilots than 2019.
The crucial thing in Eurocontrol scenarios for aviation is the vaccine pace. If enough people are vaccinated, the restrictions will also be removed.
The vaccine gives hope
The situation in the UK today shows how vulnerable it is. The country was one of the first to open up this summer, and got a strong wave of contagion.
This is despite the fact that the country has set over 100 million vaccine doses.
In September, coronary heart disease took up 25–35 per cent of the intensive care unit at the British hospital.
Six out of ten coronary heart disease patients in hospital have been vaccinated, according to Economist. But if you look at the numbers of corona deaths, the group differs markedly, figures from the British Bureau of Statistics show.
Elsewhere in Europe, the problem of vaccine skepticism is even greater. This is especially true in Eastern Europe, but which is set on the number of infected and dead.
The government has extended the law on entry restrictions, and we are entering another winter where the infection of Europe.
Countries that were previously green have turned red again.
From night to Monday, the government introduced requirements for entry quarantine for entry from Greenland, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Switzerland, the Czech Republic and Zealand in Denmark.
However, the quarantine does not apply to those who are valid, verifiable corona certificate.
But even with a corona certificate, the holiday will hardly be exactly as before.
Mouthpiece on bar
In the winter of 2020, the ski resort of Ischgl in Austria became the symbol of how the virus can spread. Apres ski in packed rooms provided a powerful hangover in the form of contagion, lawsuit and a broken image.
Well, the alpine nation is trying to rise again, but is experiencing a new wave.
The reason, according to Prime Minister Alexander Schallenberg, is that many people hesitate and delay taking the vaccine. 73 percent are fully vaccinated.
“We are about to stumble into the pandemic of the unprotected,” he said earlier this month.
In four Länder – Styria, Tyrol, Upper Austria and Carinthia, the unvaccinated will no longer be allowed to enter restaurants and even with negative tests. Only vaccinated or those who have had the disease are admitted.
In many places you must also wear a bandage.
Almost two years after alpine tourists brought viruses from southern Europe, it is still a long time before you can celebrate without restraint again.
NRK’s European correspondent Roger Sevrin Bruland visited «Alps Ibiza last winter». Report her:
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