The experts of the Covid forecast consortium, that is, scientists who are concerned with forecasting the number of cases and possible occupancy of hospitals across Austria, especially in Salzburg with a significant increase in Covid cases.
The Covid prognosis consortium assumes that between 300 and 435 inpatient Covid-19 patients will need intensive care in two weeks. On Wednesday, 250 seriously ill patients were treated in intensive care units. On November 11, between 1,149 and 2,148 patients and patients are expected in normal wards. It currently holds at 1.007.
Intensive care units could be subjected to more stress again
In individual federal states, this development could lead to the fact that the Covid-19 coating in intensive care units on Thursday in two weeks indicated the critical utilization limit of 33 percent. According to the current assessment of the experts, this probability is 35 percent in Vorarlberg, 15 percent in Vienna and ten percent in Burgenland.
The daily new infections – more than 4,200 were recorded on Wednesday – should, according to the forecasting consortium, be between 4.595 and 6.322 on November 11, which, with a delay, suggests a further increase in late autumn. In any case, the experts warn of a “significant increase in the seven-day incidence (number of new infections in the past seven days per 100,000 inhabitants)”, which will die next Wednesday in Austria-wide over 360 and possibly reach 495.
Bad prognosis in Salzburg
The prognoses for Salzburg are the bleakest, where the incidence will be between 514 and 819 favors per 100,000. A seven-day incidence of 450 to 717 is expected in Upper Austria; Vorarlberg (377 to 603) and Carinthia (372 to 594) will probably also be above the Austrian average on November 4. The lowest seven-day incidence is expected in Vienna, it should be between 200 and 319 on November 4th. However, in the federal capital alone, between 94 and 156 Covid patients are likely to have intensive medical care needs.